MLB
Texas Rangers
Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Diamondbac
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAITexas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Cody Bradford
(SP)
out — Bradford (elbow) began facing live hitters in batting practice and should be ready for a rehab assignment when the 2026 regular season begins, MLB.com reports.
Out
Jordan Montgomery
(SP)
60-day IL — The Rangers signed Montgomery (elbow) to a one-year, $1.25 million contract Wednesday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
60-Day-IL
Sebastian Walcott
(SS)
out — Rangers GM Ross Fenstermaker said Tuesday that Walcott could be ready for game action in August, "if all things according to plan" in his rehab from the internal brace procedure he underwent on his right elbow, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Out
Cody Freeman
(3B)
out — Freeman is not in the Rangers' starting lineup against the Twins on Wednesday.
Out
Nabil Crismatt
(SP)
out — Crismatt will undergo surgery to repair a torn UCL in his right elbow, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
Out
Declan Cronin
(RP)
out — Cronin (elbow) signed a two-year, minor-league contract with the Rangers on Tuesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
Out
Arizona Diamondbacks
Merrill Kelly
(SP)
out — Kelly (back) allowed two runs on five hits over 2.2 innings in Wednesday's spring start against the Cubs.
Out
Corbin Burnes
(SP)
60-day IL — Burnes (elbow) threw a bullpen session Monday, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
(LF)
out — Gurriel (knee) could return to game action by mid-April, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
Out
Adrian Del Castillo
(C)
out — Del Castillo (calf) has begun hitting in cages and catching bullpen sessions, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
Out
Cristian Mena
(RP)
out — Mena (shoulder) has continued his throwing program, but he has yet to throw off a mound, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
Out
Tyler Locklear
(1B)
out — Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said Sunday that Locklear (shoulder/elbow) is trending toward a return around mid-May to early June, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
Out
A.J. Puk
(RP)
60-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Puk (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.
60-Day-IL
Justin Martinez
(RP)
60-day IL — Martinez (elbow) hopes to make his season debut by late August, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Andrew Saalfrank
(RP)
60-day IL — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
Derek Law
(RP)
out — Law (forearm) signed a minor-league contract with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, Aaron Hughes of SI.com reports.
Out
Kyle Amendt
(RP)
out — Amendt underwent shoulder surgery Tuesday, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Out
Tommy Henry
(RP)
out — The Diamondbacks re-signed Henry (elbow) to a minor-league contract Monday.
Out
Blake Walston
(SP)
out — The Diamondbacks placed Walston (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Arizona Diamondbacks
67%
TOSS-UP
"Dbacks -115 ML: Nelson arm vs Rangers 4 pitchers out, model +3.2 EV home dog edge"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
N/A
Arizona home edge + Texas pitching injuries create +4% model edge vs fair -115 ML
FULL ANALYSIS
Dbacks hold rotation edge with Nelson's 16 IP vs Rangers missing Montgomery (60IL), Bradford, Crismatt. Texas prospects like Langford hot but bullpen collapse risk high. Chase Field temps likely 75F+ boost Chase Field scoring 12% early season. Model sees +3.2 EV home ML.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Texas Rangers -115 (est)
- Eovaldi (16 IP leader) vs injury-riddled Dbacks rotation (Kelly/Mena out); Langford (15 RBI leader) gives Texas lineup edge
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Texas Rangers
- Rangers road favorites project +12% win rate edge with Eovaldi starting vs depleted Dbacks staff
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 8.0 8.0
- Eovaldi/Nelson matchup projects 7.2 runs; both teams missing key hitters (Gurriel/Del Castillo out)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Rangers -115 ML +2.75 EV: Eovaldi vs Dbacks' injured staff (Kelly out), Langford RBI edge
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