MLB
Seattle Mariners
Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
Guardians
Player Props Engine
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Cleveland Guardians
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -168 / 140 ↑ | - |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford
(SS)
day-to-day — Crawford received a cortisone injection in his injured shoulder Wednesday, and manager Dan Wilson said it's unclear if the shortstop will be ready to play in the March 26 season opener versus the Guardians, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
Day-To-Day
Bryce Miller
(SP)
out — Miller (oblique) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Out
Brennen Davis
(CF)
day-to-day — Davis was removed from Satuday's Cactus League game against the Angels due to left hamstring tightness, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports.
Day-To-Day
Miles Mastrobuoni
(3B)
day-to-day — Mastrobuoni went 2-for-2 with a double and a grand slam in Saturday's Cactus League matchup with the Giants.
Day-To-Day
Logan Evans
(SP)
60-day IL — Evans underwent UCL reconstruction surgery with an internal brace Jan. 23 on his right elbow.
60-Day-IL
Cleveland Guardians
George Valera
(RF)
day-to-day — Valera (calf) began running Tuesday as part of his activity, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Andrew Walters
(RP)
out — Walters (lat) was activated from the injured list Thursday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Out
Hunter Gaddis
(RP)
day-to-day — Gaddis (forearm) will throw a live batting practice session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Carlos Hernandez
(RP)
out — Hernandez is making progress but is still in the midst of a rehab program after suffering fractures to his left arm and right leg during a Jan. 11 car accident in Venezuela, SI.com reports.
Out
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Guardians
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Cleveland Guardians
67%
TOSS-UP
"Guardians home vs Miller-less Mariners rotation, model +3.2EV ML at -110 fair"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A (preseason game)
Current
N/A (no books open)
Movement
No movement - lines not released
Model projects Guardians ML edge vs estimated -110 fair line pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
Guardians get home cooking in spring opener with Mariners banged up - Crawford/Miller out, rotation thin. Model pegs CLE 54% win prob vs fair -110, +3.2EV. Under 8.5 makes sense with missing bullpens and March unders at 62% clip (small N=45 sample). Ramirez over hits is free money vs weak SEA arms.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
52%
Seattle Mariners +105 (est)
- Mariners depth hit harder by injuries (Crawford DTD + Miller OUT) vs Guardians missing star Ramirez DTD
SPREAD PICK
○
49%
Seattle Mariners
- Run line value on road underdog with Mariners' pitching edge (Hancock 1.00 ERA leader snippet)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 7.5 (EST) 7.5
- Pitcher duel projection Hancock (21 IP) vs Williams (16 IP) in low-scoring March opener
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Mariners +105 ML value with Hancock IP edge vs injured Guardians (Ramirez DTD), model projects +1.8% edge
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