Moneyline: Utah Mammoth (+110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-06T15:24:18.091438 UTC
Away posterior 57.5% vs 43.5% market (+14.0pp calibrated edge) with model 89.0% away win and 4.4 vs 3.0 EWMA form edge
NHL
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
4
-
2
LIVE
New Jersey Devils
Devils
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 20.9% divergence on ML with strong signal. RLM detected on moneyline.
Sharp: home
Boost: +3
Whale Activity Detected
$9319 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home
Polymarket: 5 trades
Kalshi: 12 trades
Largest: $2650
Ω OMEGA LINE
OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
4.5
Edge: +6.0
Total
6.0
Edge: -0.5
Win Prob
8.2%
ML
1121 / -1121
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAUtah Mammoth
New Jersey Devils
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -122 / 102 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -117 / 106 | - |
| Value Line | - | 800 / -1667 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | -1.5 (205) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | -1.5 (205) ↓ | - | - |
| Value Line | 1.5 (225) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 6.0 (-122) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.5 (104) |
| Value Line | - | - | Over 8.5 (-103) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | 224 / -224 | -112 / 112 | O/U 110 / -110 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Utah Mammoth
M
Maveric Lamoureux
New Jersey Devils
C
Connor Brown
S
Seamus Casey
J
Johnathan Kovacevic
N
Nick Bjugstad
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Recorded picks and reasons
These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
Spread: Utah Mammoth 1.5 (-238)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T23:02:39.670084 UTC
Away cover posterior 65.2% vs 50% market (+15.2pp calibrated edge) with scoring model/MC projecting 5.0-5.2 away goals
Player Prop: under (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T23:02:39.710322 UTC
Devils missing key offensive support (Casey, Kovacevic) reduces Hughes' scoring opportunities. Model projects lower team scoring. Cap at 60 due to unvalidated roster.
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Utah Mammoth @ New Jersey Devils
+18.9 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth
58%
Lean
"Utah value: 58% vs 44.4% implied +13.6pp edge, injuries -25% Devils, +18.9 EV at +105"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
44%
Edge
+13.6%
Line Movement
Current
New Jersey Devils -1.5 / Total 6.5 / Devils -125
Movement
No significant line movement detected
Away ML at +105 with 58% posterior vs 44.4% implied gives +18.9 EV per $100
FULL ANALYSIS
Models hammer Utah: MC 89.4% away win, Dixon-Coles away 5.16 vs home 0.82, posterior away 58% vs 44.4% market. Home injury -25% with Brown out and 3 on IR vs away -6.3% nets Utah +18.7%. Sharp leans away and under, under fair 52.9% supports 6.5 under.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge away on ML 1.5% moderate and under total 2.5% moderate; Pinnacle fair away 46.4% vs retail; Kalshi home 51.5% vs sharp -3.3% divergence
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
58%
Utah Mammoth 105
- calibrated away posterior 58.0% vs market 44.4% (+13.6pp) with model 89.4% away win and injury net -18.7% against home
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Utah Mammoth 1.5
- Away +1.5 cover posterior 65.2% vs 50% market (+15.2pp) confirmed by Market Consensus fair away 68.6%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 6.5
- Under posterior 53.4% vs 50% (+3.4pp) with Market Consensus fair under 52.9% and +6.9% EV on under +102
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Devils missing 3 key players (-22.1% lambda) vs Utah's 1 depth loss (-6.3%) — net +15.8% injury advantage for Utah Mammoth moneyline at model-projected even odds
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