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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +45.0% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 0.0
"Toronto spread +215 at Bovada = 45% EV (Pinnacle fair 46%) + sharp 19.6% divergence vs -163 juice"
EV / $100
+45.2
Win Prob
46%
Edge
-3.7%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
60%
TOTAL over 7.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 20.8% divergence on spread with strong signal. RLM detected on spread.
Sharp: away Boost: +3
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +163.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +16.5
Win Prob
24.5%
ML
309 / -309

Player Props Engine

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Toronto Blue Jays

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 148 / -180 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 154 / -172 -
Value Line - 135 / -175 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-260) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-106) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.5 (-113)
De-Vigged Fair Value -100 / -100 164 / -164 O/U -105 / 105
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

M
Miguel Rojas
(2B) day-to-day — Rojas is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Guardians.
Day-To-Day
M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) said Monday that he already feels "light years ahead of where I thought I was going to be," Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager Dave Roberts told reporters Wednesday that Snell (shoulder) will "likely" face hitters once the Dodgers return to Los Angeles from their upcoming six-game road trip, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took on-field batting practice Saturday and is progressing well, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) will begin throwing live batting practice Friday, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

M
Max Scherzer
(SP) day-to-day — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Tuesday that Scherzer (forearm) "feels good" and remains on track to make his scheduled start this weekend against the Twins, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Day-To-Day
C
Cody Ponce
(SP) 60-day IL — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Tuesday that Ponce will undergo surgery to repair a torn right ACL, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Alejandro Kirk
(C) 10-day IL — Kirk underwent surgery Tuesday to have a screw inserted into his fractured left thumb and is expected to be sidelined about six weeks, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jose Berrios
(SP) 15-day IL — Berrios (elbow) is scheduled to face hitters in live batting practice again Tuesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Trey Yesavage
(SP) 15-day IL — Yesavage (shoulder) is slated to make his second rehab start Thursday with Single-A Dunedin, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Addison Barger
(3B) 10-day IL — The Blue Jays placed Barger on the 10-day injured list Tuesday due to a left ankle sprain.
10-Day-IL
A
Anthony Santander
(RF) 60-day IL — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
S
Shane Bieber
(SP) 15-day IL — Bieber (elbow) will throw off a mound Saturday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
Y
Yimi Garcia
(RP) 15-day IL — Garcia (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
C
Chay Yeager
(RP) out — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
B
Bowden Francis
(SP) 60-day IL — Manager John Schneider revealed Tuesday that Francis is undergoing UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow and will miss the 2026 season, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-260)
Total Over 7.5
Key Injuries
Miguel Rojas Day-To-Day
Mookie Betts 10-Day-IL
Max Scherzer Day-To-Day
Cody Ponce 60-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays

+45.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Toronto Blue Jays 64% Sharp Lean
"Toronto spread +215 at Bovada = 45% EV (Pinnacle fair 46%) + sharp 19.6% divergence vs -163 juice"
46% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 46%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -3.7%
Line Movement
Current LAD -163 / Toronto +135 / Total 7.5
Movement No movement data
No positive EV on Dodgers ML (-7.2 EV); Toronto ML +4.1 EV at +135 vs our 53.7% fair prob; MASSIVE +45% EV on Toronto spread +163 at Bovada per +EV analysis
Model: 52.3% win rate | n=352 — N=352 MLB (52.3%); recent 7d +3.93u; vs LAD 16-11; H2H series mixed (2-4 picks)
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp 19.6% spread divergence gives Toronto +163 at Bovada 45% EV vs Pinnacle fair 46%; MC even matchup (46.3% each) crushes -163 ML juice despite Elo favoring LAD. Omega total 24.0 anomaly but calibration kills totals (losing tier-wide). Injuries hit both bullpens hard but Mookie IL caps LAD ceiling; lean Toronto spread with ML backup.
SHARP MONEY
19.6% sharp edge on spread favoring away (Toronto) vs retail -163; strong signal despite weak ML sharp (0.3% home); MC confirms no edge on favorites
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Toronto Blue Jays 0.0
+45.2 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
+4.1 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL over 7.5
+0.8 EV 55%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Toronto Blue Jays 117
  • Omega ML implies Blue Jays +255 (28% win prob) vs market -140 (better value on dog despite MC 46.7%)
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Los Angeles Dodgers 2.2
  • Pinnacle fair value gives Dodgers +2.2 43.7% cover prob vs market 33% implied (+44% EV at Bovada +230)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 9.0
  • Omega total 24.0 vs market 9.0 (MC total mean 23.9); massive model overreaction
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers +2.2 has +44% EV (Pinnacle fair 43.7%) + 18.7% sharp divergence vs market juice
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