Moneyline: Detroit Pistons (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-03T23:22:53.338528 UTC
Home court plus interior edge gives Detroit ~55% win probability in model simulation.
NBA
Phoenix Suns
Suns
Detroit Pistons
Pistons
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAPhoenix Suns
Detroit Pistons
OMEGA Model Lines
MODELSpread
8.9
Moneyline
DET -362
/
PHO 362
Win Probability
78%
-
22%
OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
Injury Report
Phoenix Suns
M
Mark Williams
Detroit Pistons
J
Jalen Duren
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Recorded picks and reasons
These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
Spread: Detroit Pistons -2.5 (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-03T23:22:53.345884 UTC
Model projects Detroit -2.5 at home via Cunningham-Duren pick-and-roll efficiency edge.
Player Prop: over (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-03T23:22:53.357264 UTC
Primary creator vs thin Suns guard defense with no rim protection behind Williams absence.
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Phoenix Suns @ Detroit Pistons
+2.87 EV
per $100 wagered
Detroit Pistons
60%
Lean
"Model leans Detroit -2.5 at home with +2.9 EV vs vig baseline, display only with no market edge"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
52%
Edge
+2.6%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - omega_model
Current
Detroit Pistons -2.5 / Total 224.5 (omega_model)
Movement
No market movement - model projections only
Small model edge vs standard -110 vig baseline. Display only, never bet. No market to beat.
FULL ANALYSIS
No market odds so lines are omega_model only: Detroit -2.5, total 224.5. Model leans Detroit at home on Cunningham usage and Duren interior edge. Preseason rotation risk keeps everything LEAN and display-only.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
60%
Detroit Pistons None
- Home court plus interior edge gives Detroit ~55% win probability in model simulation
SPREAD PICK
○
60%
Detroit Pistons -2.5
- Model projects Detroit -2.5 at home via Cunningham-Duren pick-and-roll efficiency edge
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
58%
UNDER 224.5
- Preseason pace with expanded rotations and limited starter minutes favors under 224.5
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Detroit -2.5 model edge with Williams out; 63% ML vs 57.4% breakeven (+9.7 EV)
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