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Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
Braves
1 - 1
LIVE
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +59.6% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
"LAD ML +4.5 EV (57% posterior vs 54.5% mkt) + extreme whales/sharp home RL despite Sale edge, model div low"
EV / $100
+54.5
Win Prob
57%
Edge
+7.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers None
64%
TOTAL over 8.0
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 14.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$681463 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 346 trades Kalshi: 55 trades Largest: $17949
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +120.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +14.5
Win Prob
42.5%
ML
135 / -135

Player Props Engine

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Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers

Live Stats

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -119 / -101 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -117 / 108 -
Value Line - -122 / 100 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (360) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (176) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.5 (-108)
De-Vigged Fair Value 188 / -188 -113 / 113 O/U -102 / 102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Atlanta Braves

D
Danny Young
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
B
Blake Burkhalter
(RP) day-to-day — Triple-A Gwinnett placed Burkhalter on the 7-day injured list March 27 with back spasms, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.
Day-To-Day
A
AJ Smith-Shawver
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Smith-Shawver (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Friday.
60-Day-IL
H
Hurston Waldrep
(SP) 15-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Waldrep (elbow) will throw a bullpen session in about a week and could be ready to rejoin the team in June, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Ronald Acuna Jr.
(RF) 10-day IL — Manager Walt Weiss said Sunday that Acuna has been diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain of his left hamstring, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Joe Jimenez
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss acknowledged Wednesday that he's uncertain if Jimenez (knee) will be available to pitch at any point in 2026, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
S
Spencer Schwellenbach
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Schwellenbach (elbow) has yet to begin a throwing program and will not make his season debut until after the All-Star break, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
60-Day-IL
H
Ha-Seong Kim
(SS) 10-day IL — Kim (finger) is moving his rehab assignment from Double-A Columbus to Triple-A Gwinnett this week, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jorge Mateo
(SS) day-to-day — Mateo was held out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Mariners while he nurses a jammed thumb, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jurickson Profar
(LF) Suspension — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
suspension
D
Dylan Dodd
(RP) 15-day IL — Dodd (back) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Gwinnett in the coming days, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Joey Wentz
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

T
Tyler Glasnow
(SP) 15-day IL — no
15-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) will be activated from the 15-day injured list Saturday to make his season debut for the Dodgers against Atlanta, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Casparius on the 15-day injured list Monday with right shoulder inflammation, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Knack (chest) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz said Monday that he's feeling "really good" following right elbow surgery and expressed confidence that he will be back to full strength in the second half of the season, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday, Triple-A Oklahoma City broadcaster Alex Freedman reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) will kick of a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Monday that Edman has been backed off his rehab a bit after feeling residual soreness in his surgically repaired right ankle, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Oklahoma City on Friday.
10-Day-IL
Live Box Score
LIVE
Atlanta Braves
Braves
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Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

+54.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 60% Lean
"LAD ML +4.5 EV (57% posterior vs 54.5% mkt) + extreme whales/sharp home RL despite Sale edge, model div low"
57% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 57%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +7.0%
Line Movement
Current LAD -1.5 -120 / ATL +1.5 +100 | Total 8.0
Movement No significant movement
Elite SP Chris Sale (2.14 ERA) for ATL vs weak Emmet Sheehan (5.23); equal injury hits (-8%) both sides; cool 64F mild under bias
+2.5pp calibrated edge on LAD ML vs -120, breakeven 54.5%; total over +15.2pp edge
FULL ANALYSIS
Bayesian fuses to 57% LAD ML (+2.5pp edge) despite MC favoring ATL 64% on Sale dominance—very low agreement caps conf; huge +15pp over 8 edge but totals losing WR forces lean tier. Sharp +EV 54% home RL + extreme $471k whales home boost ML/spread. Sale K prop elite vs depleted LAD.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp spread edge 13.6% home + extreme whale volume $471k (53 wallets, 70% home) + +54.5% EV home spread
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
+54.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers None
+4.5 EV 64% 1u
TOTAL over 8.0
+13.7 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 64%
Los Angeles Dodgers -120
  • Bayesian posterior 57% vs market 54.5% (+2.5pp edge); whale extreme home + sharp ML moderate away but spread strong home
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
  • +54.5% EV home spread per Pinnacle devig vs retail; sharp divergence 13.6%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 8.0
  • Bayesian over posterior 65.2% vs 50% market (+15.2pp); MC total ~20 vs market 8
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers ML +135 w/ 57.8% posterior (+15pp vs OMEGA 42.5%), extreme whales $436k; MC under 22.5 71.6%
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