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MLB
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
3 - 6
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
Diamondbac
Arizona Diamondbacks
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 1.5
"TOR +1.5 +37 EV vs Pinnacle fair (62% cover); $102k extreme whales on Jays ML"
EV / $100
+37.5
Win Prob
46%
Edge
-4.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
60%
TOTAL over 9.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Toronto Blue Jays

Arizona Diamondbacks

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -119 / -101 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -114 / 103 -
Value Line - -122 / -103 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (340) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (175) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 9.0 (100)
De-Vigged Fair Value 190 / -190 -108 / 108 O/U 107 / -107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

S
Shane Bieber
(SP) 60-day IL — Bieber (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jose Berrios
(SP) 15-day IL — Berrios (elbow) will make his next rehab start Wednesday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
15-Day-IL
G
George Springer
(RF) 10-day IL — Springer (toe) will throw, hit and participate in mobility drills Monday, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
10-Day-IL
Y
Yimi Garcia
(RP) 15-day IL — Garcia (elbow) will throw live batting practice Wednesday, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Addison Barger
(3B) 10-day IL — Blue Jays manager John Schneider told reporters Monday that Barger (ankles) will start running Tuesday, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
10-Day-IL
G
Geovanny Jesus Planchart
(C) day-to-day
Day-To-Day
L
Lazaro Estrada
(SP) 15-day IL — Toronto optioned Estrada to Triple-A Buffalo on Sunday.
15-Day-IL
C
Cody Ponce
(SP) 60-day IL — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Yesavage
(SP) 15-day IL — Yesavage (shoulder) will make a rehab start with Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Alejandro Kirk
(C) 10-day IL — Kirk underwent surgery Tuesday to have a screw inserted into his fractured left thumb and is expected to be sidelined about six weeks, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
A
Anthony Santander
(RF) 60-day IL — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
C
Chay Yeager
(RP) out — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
B
Bowden Francis
(SP) 60-day IL — Manager John Schneider revealed Tuesday that Francis is undergoing UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow and will miss the 2026 season, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

G
Gabriel Moreno
(C) 10-day IL — Moreno (oblique) was spotted taking part in catching drills and playing catch on the field prior to Sunday's 10-4 loss to the Blue Jays, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
10-Day-IL
C
Corbin Carroll
(RF) day-to-day — Carroll (back) is expected to start in right field for Tuesday's series opener against the White Sox, Alex D'Agostino of SI.com reports.
Day-To-Day
P
Pavin Smith
(1B) 60-day IL — Smith underwent surgery to remove bone chips from his left elbow Thursday, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
A
A.J. Vukovich
(CF) out — Vukovich is expected to miss roughly 2-3 months with a left shoulder injury, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Out
J
Jordan Lawlar
(SS) 60-day IL — The Diamondbacks transferred Lawlar (wrist) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
C
Carlos Santana
(1B) 10-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Santana on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with a right adductor strain.
10-Day-IL
A
A.J. Puk
(RP) 60-day IL — Puk (elbow) has thrown multiple bullpen sessions since late March, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
K
Kyle Amendt
(RP) day-to-day — Amendt underwent shoulder surgery Tuesday, Jack Sommers of SI.com reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Blake Walston
(SP) 60-day IL — Arizona placed Walston (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
C
Cristian Mena
(RP) 60-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Mena (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Locklear
(1B) 10-day IL — The Diamondbacks placed Locklear (elbow) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
J
Justin Martinez
(RP) 60-day IL — Martinez (elbow) is throwing from up to 120 feet on flat ground, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
C
Corbin Burnes
(SP) 60-day IL — Burnes (elbow) threw a bullpen session Monday, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Andrew Saalfrank
(RP) 60-day IL — Saalfrank (shoulder) said Wednesday that he expects to be sidelined 10-16 months, Arizona Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Derek Law
(RP) out — Law (forearm) signed a minor-league contract with the Diamondbacks on Tuesday, Aaron Hughes of SI.com reports.
Out
T
Tommy Henry
(RP) out — The Diamondbacks re-signed Henry (elbow) to a minor-league contract Monday.
Out
Box Score
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
3
-
Arizona Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
6
Toronto Blue Jays 1.5
65% conf
L

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks

+37.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Toronto Blue Jays 65% Sharp Lean Calibrated
"TOR +1.5 +37 EV vs Pinnacle fair (62% cover); $102k extreme whales on Jays ML"
46% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 46%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -4.0%
Line Movement
Current ARI -1.5 -143 / TOR +1.5 +121
Movement No significant line movement detected
Marginal +EV on TOR ML after whale adjustment; massive +37 EV on TOR +1.5 vs Pinnacle fair value (62.2% cover prob)
Model: 51.8% win rate | n=552 — Spreads/moneylines profitable in Lean tier (N=552 MLB)
FULL ANALYSIS
Pinnacle fair value prices TOR +1.5 cover at 62.2% vs DK's 45% implied (+37 EV from 13.9% sharp spread edge). Extreme $102k whale volume on TOR ML (institutional tier) adds confirmation despite 57% conviction. Equal -6.9% injury hits both sides, neutral total but historical 48.7% WR fades it.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Toronto Blue Jays 1.5
+37.5 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
+2.1 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL over 9.0
+1.2 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 60%
Toronto Blue Jays 119
  • Extreme $102k whale volume (30 profitable wallets) on TOR ML at 57% consensus
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Toronto Blue Jays 1.5
  • Pinnacle de-vigged fair value 62.2% TOR +1.5 cover vs retail implied 45.3% (+37.5 EV)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 9.0
  • Pinnacle fair over 52% vs -110 implied 52.4%
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dbacks +141 ML: Bayesian +6.9% edge (56.9% vs 41.5% implied), MC home 46.9%
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