Home › NHL › Minnesota Wild @ St. Louis Blues
NHL
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild
Wild
St. Louis Blues
Blues
St. Louis Blues
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +25.7% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild -1.5
"MIN -1.5 (-118) +11.1% sharp edge + $77k whales 94% away, +26% EV vs Pinnacle despite injuries"
EV / $100
+8.2
Win Prob
56%
Edge
+6.5%
Size
1.0u
MONEYLINE Minnesota Wild None
61%
TOTAL over 5.5
57%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors under side. 11.9% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on total.
Sharp: under Boost: +4
Whale Activity Detected
$77631 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong away consensus (94% of whale volume).
Whales: away Polymarket: 87 trades Largest: $16284

Player Props Engine

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Minnesota Wild

St. Louis Blues

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -105 / -115 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -101 / -111 -
Value Line - 100 / -115 -
Sharp Action Best Line 2.5 (-475) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-252) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 2.5 (-175)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (-107)
De-Vigged Fair Value -234 / 234 105 / -105 O/U -100 / -100
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Minnesota Wild

Z
Zach Bogosian
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
M
Mats Zuccarello
(RW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
J
Jared Spurgeon
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
J
Joel Eriksson Ek
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
C
Charlie Stramel
(C) out — Stramel signed a three-year, entry-level contract extension with the Wild on Monday.
Out

St. Louis Blues

No injuries reported
Game Preview
Minnesota Wild @ St. Louis Blues
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-475)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Zach Bogosian Day-To-Day
Mats Zuccarello Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Minnesota Wild @ St. Louis Blues

+8.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Minnesota Wild 64% Sharp Lean
"MIN -1.5 (-118) +11.1% sharp edge + $77k whales 94% away, +26% EV vs Pinnacle despite injuries"
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +6.5%
Line Movement
Current Puck Line: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (-118) / St. Louis Blues +1.5; ML: St. Louis Blues -102 / Minnesota Wild -118; Total: 5.5
Movement No significant movement
Away injury disadvantage (-18.9% lambda adj)
+EV on away ML/spread due to sharp divergence and whale volume; totals weak historically
Model: 49.1% win rate | n=395 — N=395 NHL; profitable vs these teams (MIN 14-9, STL 10-9)
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharps show 11.1% edge on MIN puck line cover (+26% EV vs Pinnacle) confirmed by $77k whale volume (94% away, strong tier). Away injuries (-18.9%) offset by model divergence; RLM on over 5.5 adds total signal despite weak historical totals WR. Low data quality caps conviction.
SHARP MONEY
Strong sharp edge 11.1% on away spread + RLM on total over; weak ML edge away
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Minnesota Wild -1.5
+8.2 EV 64% 1.0u
MONEYLINE Minnesota Wild None
+3.2 EV 61% 0.5u
TOTAL over 5.5
+2.1 EV 57% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 61%
Minnesota Wild -118
  • Whales 94% confident away ($77k strong tier) + sharp ML edge 0.4%
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Minnesota Wild -1.5
  • Sharp edge 11.1% favors away cover + +26% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (away 30%)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 57%
OVER 5.5
  • Sharp edge 10.5% on over + RLM confirmation
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Blues +169 ML: Wild -25% from 4 key outs flips 37% implied to 54% our prob (+45 EV)
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