NCAA Football
Temple Owls
Owls
South Florida Bulls
Bulls
Whale Activity Detected
$14294 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home
Kalshi: 25 trades
Largest: $3780
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGATemple Owls
South Florida Bulls
OMEGA Model Lines
MODELSpread
8.7
Moneyline
SOU -347
/
TEM 347
Win Probability
78%
-
22%
OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Temple Owls @ South Florida Bulls
+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
South Florida Bulls
60%
Lean
"USF -6.5 is the only play with a slight edge; moneyline too juiced, under 48.5 a lean based on unproven offenses."
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
52%
Edge
+2.5%
Line Movement
Current
USF -6.5, Total 48.5
Movement
No movement data available
No situational flags detected
Our model sees a slight edge on USF covering -6.5, driven by home field advantage and a lack of reported injuries for the Bulls.
FULL ANALYSIS
USF is a home favorite against Temple with no injury concerns, but the -6.5 spread is the only play with any edge. The moneyline is too expensive at -260, and the under 48.5 is a lean based on early-season offensive uncertainty. Without line movement or sharp money data, confidence is capped across the board.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
55%
South Florida Bulls -260
- USF is the stronger team at home, but the -260 price requires a 72% win probability to break even; our 55% confidence is below that threshold
SPREAD PICK
○
60%
South Florida Bulls -6.5
- Home favorite with no injury concerns vs an unproven Temple squad; model projects a 55% cover probability
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
58%
UNDER 48.5
- Total set at 48.5; both teams have unproven offenses early in the season, and model projects a lower-scoring game around 45 points
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
USF -6.5 is the only play with a slight edge; moneyline too juiced, under 48.5 a lean based on unproven offenses.
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