NHL
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 11.8% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away
Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$575881 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong away consensus (74% of whale volume).
Whales: away
Polymarket: 145 trades
Kalshi: 229 trades
Largest: $11001
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAVegas Golden Knights
Anaheim Ducks
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -103 / -117 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -100 / -112 | - |
| Value Line | - | -103 / -112 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | 2.5 (-525) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | 1.5 (-260) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 2.5 (100) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.5 (-101) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -242 / 242 | 106 / -106 | O/U 106 / -106 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Vegas Golden Knights
M
Mark Stone
Anaheim Ducks
R
Radko Gudas
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Vegas Golden Knights @ Anaheim Ducks
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Anaheim Ducks
60%
Lean
"Anaheim -2.0 sharp steam +8.6% edge & +28.9 EV retail despite $553k whales Vegas ML"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
53%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+2.8%
Line Movement
Current
Anaheim Ducks -2.0 / Vegas Golden Knights +2.0 | O/U 15.2 | ML Anaheim -112 / Vegas -106
Movement
No significant line movement detected
home_injury_impact
Neutral EV on home ML; no edge after vig; requires 52.8%+ to break even at -112
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp money hammers Anaheim -2.0 (8.6% edge, +28.9% EV at retail outliers like Bovada +360) despite Gudas DTD (-3.1% home lambda hit) and extreme $553k whales on Vegas ML (75% conviction). Bayesian posterior dead-neutral 52.8% home win prob with 0% edge, anchoring low conf; NHL variance favors ML dogs long-term. Totals crushed model (48.7% WR), high 15.2 line screams under trap but pass due to weak calibration.
SHARP MONEY
Strong sharp on home spread (8.6% edge), moderate on away ML (1.4%) and under total (2.6%); RLM on ML away
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
55%
Vegas Golden Knights -106
- Extreme whale volume $553k (institutional tier) at 75% confidence + moderate sharp ML away (1.4% edge, RLM)
SPREAD PICK
○
60%
Anaheim Ducks -2.0
- Strong sharp divergence 8.6% on home spread + +28.9% EV vs Bovada fair value (28% home cover fair)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 15.2
- Moderate sharp signal on under (2.6% edge); historical totals WR 48.7% losing
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Vegas +1.5 (54.6% post vs 50% mkt, +4.7pp) + Gudas out -6.3%; Over 6 (65% post, models 15 total)
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700