Spread: New York Rangers -1.5 (+180)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T00:58:54.376840 UTC
NHL spread is only validated cell but omega_line scoring model/team strength failed so no confirmed cover edge
NHL
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
New York Rangers
Rangers
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 9.7% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home
Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$68176 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong away consensus (74% of whale volume).
Whales: away
Polymarket: 14 trades
Largest: $49735
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAUtah Mammoth
New York Rangers
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -133 / 112 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -129 / 114 | - |
| Value Line | - | -134 / 114 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | -2.5 (320) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | -1.5 (198) ↓ | - | - |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 5.5 (-113) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | 219 / -219 | -122 / 122 | O/U -105 / 105 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Utah Mammoth
M
Maveric Lamoureux
New York Rangers
J
Joonas Korpisalo
A
Aidan Thompson
A
Adam Sykora
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Recorded picks and reasons
These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
Player Prop: over (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-03T01:02:03.948808 UTC
Keller is Utah's primary offensive threat (2 goals in team leaders). Against a NYR team missing its starting goaltender, his shot volume should increase. Model projects ~0.4 goals, above the 0.5 line.
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Utah Mammoth @ New York Rangers
+0.1 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Rangers
57%
Lean
"Rangers -135 has 0.0pp edge at 57.5% vs 57.4% implied; only home case is +10% sharp spread lean, faded by whale away money."
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
57%
Edge
+0.1%
Line Movement
Current
Rangers -1.5 / Rangers -135 / Total 5.5
Movement
No significant line movement detected.
0.1pp edge is vig, not value; no actionable moneyline EV at -135.
FULL ANALYSIS
Posterior equals market at 57.5% home for 0.0pp Bayesian edge, so -135 at 57.4% implied is vig. Only supporting home signal is 10.0% sharp spread divergence to Rangers with strong tag and Kalshi 54.5% within 2.0%, offset by -18.9% home injury impact and STRONG $68,176 whale volume on Utah. Degraded 62% data quality with no Poisson, ELO, or MC forces all three picks to LEAN/PASS.
SHARP MONEY
Spread sharp edge 10.0% to home with strong signal; moneyline sharp edge 0.7% to away weak, net overall sharp favors home.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
57%
New York Rangers -135
- calibrated 57.5% equals market 57.5% for zero edge; home held only on market prior
SPREAD PICK
○
58%
New York Rangers -1.5
- Sharp spread divergence 10.0% to home with strong signal aligns with Market Consensus fair 31.6% vs retail +320 history
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
57%
OVER 5.5
- Market Consensus fair over 51.3% versus under 48.7% gives only a 1.3pp lean to over 5.5
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Utah +1.5 offers 2.1% EV against a NYR team missing its starting goaltender — low-confidence lean in a data-poor matchup
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