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MLB
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Atlanta Braves
Braves
Atlanta Braves
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +47.3% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves -1.5
"Braves -1.5 +47% EV vs Pinnacle + sharp/whale home consensus (13.2% edge, $399k extreme vol)"
EV / $100
+6.5
Win Prob
56%
Edge
+5.8%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Atlanta Braves None
56%
TOTAL under 9.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 13.2% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$399516 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 89 trades Kalshi: 1 trades Largest: $23310

Player Props Engine

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Detroit Tigers

Atlanta Braves

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -122 / 102 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -116 / 106 -
Value Line - -129 / 104 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (315) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (168) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 9.5 (103)
De-Vigged Fair Value 182 / -182 -111 / 111 O/U 110 / -110
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

C
Connor Seabold
(RP) 15-day IL — Detroit moved Seabold to the 15-day IL on Sunday due to left ankle inflammation, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager A.J. Hinch said Verlander's (hip) bullpen session Wednesday was "encouraging," Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Horn (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Z
Zach McKinstry
(2B) 10-day IL — McKinstry (hip) has resumed light baseball activities, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
10-Day-IL
T
Troy Melton
(RP) 60-day IL — Melton (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Beau Brieske
(RP) 60-day IL — Brieske (groin) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Sweeney (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Owens
(SP) day-to-day — Owens (hip) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Lakeland on Saturday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Troy Watson
(SP) day-to-day — Watson is scheduled to begin a throwing program Monday as he works his way back from arthroscopic right elbow surgery, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) is scheduled to play catch out to 120 feet three times this week, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Dugan Darnell
(RP) day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Josue Briceno
(C) out — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
R
Reese Olson
(SP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday following a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL

Atlanta Braves

H
Ha-Seong Kim
(SS) 10-day IL — Kim (finger) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Columbus this week, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
10-Day-IL
S
Spencer Strider
(SP) 15-day IL — Strider (oblique) struck out seven and allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks across five innings Sunday in a rehab start for Triple-A Gwinnett.
15-Day-IL
R
Raisel Iglesias
(RP) 15-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Friday that Iglesias (shoulder) has yet to resume throwing, but the club is happy with his progress and hopes to activate him May 5 when he's first eligible, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
15-Day-IL
D
Dylan Dodd
(RP) 15-day IL — Atlanta will place Dodd on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a back strain, Barrett Sallee of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Sean Murphy
(C) 10-day IL — Murphy (hip) is slated to move his rehab assignment from High-A Rome to Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
10-Day-IL
D
Danny Young
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
B
Blake Burkhalter
(RP) day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
A
AJ Smith-Shawver
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Smith-Shawver (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Friday.
60-Day-IL
H
Hurston Waldrep
(SP) 15-day IL — Waldrep will undergo surgery Monday to remove loose bodies from his right elbow, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Joey Wentz
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Wentz on the 60-day injured list Tuesday with a right ACL tear.
60-Day-IL
J
Jurickson Profar
(LF) Suspension — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Suspension
S
Spencer Schwellenbach
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta announced that Schwellenbach underwent a procedure Wednesday to remove bone spurs from his right elbow, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Joe Jimenez
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss acknowledged Wednesday that he's uncertain if Jimenez (knee) will be available to pitch at any point in 2026, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (315)
Total Over 9.5
Key Injuries
Connor Seabold 15-Day-IL
Justin Verlander 15-Day-IL
Ha-Seong Kim 10-Day-IL
Spencer Strider 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves

+6.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Atlanta Braves 64% Sharp Lean
"Braves -1.5 +47% EV vs Pinnacle + sharp/whale home consensus (13.2% edge, $399k extreme vol)"
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +5.8%
Line Movement
Current ATL -1.5 (-126) / DET +1.5 (+105)
Movement No significant line movement detected
equal_injury_impact
Negligible edge on home ML, no recommend due to <5% over breakeven
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp 13.2% divergence +47% EV on Braves -1.5 vs Pinnacle fair 35.5% home cover prob; extreme $399k whale volume (27 wallets) confirms home steam. Equal -8% injury hits both sides, no pitchers caps projection. Totals weak model (losing WR), pass despite slight under fair value.
SHARP MONEY
Strong 13.2% sharp edge on home spread + moderate ML away but overall home; extreme whale volume $399k confirms
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Atlanta Braves -1.5
+6.5 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE Atlanta Braves None
+0.1 EV 56%
TOTAL under 9.0
+1.2 EV 55%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 56%
Atlanta Braves -126
  • Bayesian posterior matches market at 55.8%, negligible edge
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Atlanta Braves -1.5
  • 13.2% sharp edge on home run line +47.3% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (35.5% fair home cover)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 9.0
  • Pinnacle fair under 52.5% vs market 50%
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Extreme whales +2.8% injury edge to Braves +0.5/ML +155 (46% our prob >39% implied, +17EV); MC 73% under 22.5
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