Spread: Boston Bruins 1.5 (-250)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-07T18:22:01.565842 UTC
Home +1.5 covers 68.4% posterior with injury net +9.4% to home supporting one-goal game script
NHL
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Boston Bruins
Bruins
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 2.3% divergence on total with moderate signal.
Sharp: over
Boost: +1
Whale Activity Detected
$2227 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong away consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: away
Polymarket: 1 trades
Largest: $2227
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAUtah Mammoth
Boston Bruins
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | 107 / -128 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | 111 / -125 | - |
| Value Line | - | 107 / -127 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | 1.5 (-240) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | 1.5 (-239) ↓ | - | - |
| Value Line | 1.5 (-265) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 6.0 (-105) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.0 (-107) |
| Value Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (110) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -222 / 222 | 118 / -118 | O/U -100 / -100 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Utah Mammoth
M
Mikhail Sergachev
M
Maveric Lamoureux
Boston Bruins
No injuries reported
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Recorded picks and reasons
These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.
Player Prop: over (-110)
PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-07T08:37:53.322738 UTC
Keller leads Utah in scoring (6 points) and faces a Boston team that may be rusty in season opener; model projects 55% chance of scoring
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Utah Mammoth @ Boston Bruins
+-7.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth
52%
Lean
"Utah -125 with zero Bayesian edge but sharp +1.8% away lean; Boston +1.5 covers 68.4% and over 5.5 at 55.5% with +5.0% +EV flag"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
49%
Book Implied
49%
Edge
0.0%
Line Movement
Current
Boston Bruins +1.5 (-250) / Utah Mammoth -1.5 (205.0), Total 5.5, ML Home 105 / Away -125
Movement
No significant line movement detected
No edge vs vig; home ML breakeven 48.8% vs 48.8% model, effectively zero EV
FULL ANALYSIS
Books make Utah -125 road favorite with Boston +1.5 at -250 juice. Bayesian fusion shows 48.8% home / 51.2% away with zero edge, and puck 68.4% home cover vs 68.3% market. Sharp leans away and over with minor whale $2,227 support, while Utah injuries net +9.4% to Boston keeps the home cover live.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 1.8% ML away and 1.6% spread away with moderate signal, plus 2.3% divergence to over on total; whale MINOR $2,227 100% away confirms away lean
MONEYLINE PICK
○
52%
Utah Mammoth -125
- Sharp book and +EV fair value 54.1% favor Utah over retail despite 0.0pp calibrated edge
SPREAD PICK
●
67%
Boston Bruins 1.5
- Home +1.5 covers 68.4% posterior with injury net +9.4% to home supporting one-goal game script
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
OVER 5.5
- Over 5.5 posterior 55.5% with sharp 2.3% divergence to over and +5.0% +EV flag on Value Line +110
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Boston slight home favorite vs injury-depleted Utah; model shows +4.5 EV on moneyline but confidence too low to bet — spread and under are marginal leans at 55.
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