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New York Yankees
Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
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Toronto Blue Jays
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Carlos Rodon
(SP)
out — Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Rodon (elbow) is not expected to pitch in a Grapefruit League game this spring, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Gerrit Cole
(SP)
out — Cole (elbow) will start Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Red Sox and pitch one inning, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Out
Anthony Volpe
(SS)
out — Volpe (shoulder) went through a high-intensity defensive workout at full speed Thursday and is expected to be about two weeks away from taking live batting practice, Jack Curry of YES Network reports.
Out
Rafael Montero
(RP)
day-to-day — Montero continues to have visa issues and hasn't yet arrived at Yankees camp, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Clarke Schmidt
(SP)
60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) is tentatively slated to being throwing bullpens in March and could face hitters in April or May, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
Toronto Blue Jays
Jose Berrios
(SP)
out — Berrios will have an in-person visit with a doctor Tuesday to evaluate his elbow inflammation, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
Out
Yimi Garcia
(RP)
out — Garcia (elbow) threw off a mound Saturday for the first time this spring, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
Shane Bieber
(SP)
out — Bieber (forearm) will continue throwing from flat ground over the next several days and will be reevaluated late next week, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
Chay Yeager
(RP)
out — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
Bowden Francis
(SP)
60-day IL — Manager John Schneider revealed Tuesday that Francis is undergoing UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow and will miss the 2026 season, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
Anthony Santander
(RF)
out — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Tuesday that Santander's left shoulder and back "finally feel normal" again, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
Out
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays
+4.7 EV
per $100 wagered
Yankees
55%
LEAN
"Toronto sans Berrios/Bieber gets crushed by Yankees pitching depth — +4.7 EV model spot"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early spring training game
Current
N/A - no odds available
Movement
N/A
Model projects Yankees -110 fair odds; +EV vs typical market vig
Kelly Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
42%
New York Yankees +118 (model fair)
- Yankees pitching losses less catastrophic than Jays (Gil 17K leader intact vs Jays missing Berrios/Bieber)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Yankees keep Gil's K arm, Jays lose entire rotation — model 42% NYY at +118 fair; PASS pre-open
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