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NHL
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +29.8% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers -1.5
"Sharp 12.8% spread edge on EDM -1.5 despite whales/PM home (+28.5% EV vs Pinnacle fair)"
EV / $100
+5.2
Win Prob
59%
Edge
+9.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
58%
TOTAL under 7.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 13.1% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1232539 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (77% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 704 trades Kalshi: 219 trades Largest: $39931

Player Props Engine

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Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 120 / -140 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 121 / -137 -
Value Line - 112 / -127 -
Sharp Action Best Line 2.5 (-400) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-202) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 2.5 (-120)
Market Consensus - - Over 7.0 (-115)
De-Vigged Fair Value -189 / 189 129 / -129 O/U -107 / 107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Edmonton Oilers

J
Jason Dickinson
(C) day-to-day — Dickinson (undisclosed) is expected to be a game-time decision for Game 4 in Anaheim on Sunday.
Day-To-Day
A
Adam Henrique
(C) out — out
Out
M
Max Jones
(LW) out — Jones (lower body) will be out of action for 3-4 weeks, according to Tony Brar of Oilers TV on Monday.
Out

Anaheim Ducks

R
Radko Gudas
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
J
Jansen Harkins
(C) out — Harkins (hand) was a full participant in Friday's morning skate, but he won't suit up for Game 3 versus the Oilers, Derek Lee of The Hockey News reports.
Out
Game Preview
Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-400)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Jason Dickinson Day-To-Day
Adam Henrique Out
Radko Gudas Day-To-Day
Ross Johnston Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks

+5.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers 60% Lean Calibrated
"Sharp 12.8% spread edge on EDM -1.5 despite whales/PM home (+28.5% EV vs Pinnacle fair)"
59% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 59%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +9.0%
Line Movement
Current Puck Line: EDM -1.5 (-135) / ANA +1.5 (+170); ML: EDM -135 / ANA +114; Total: 7.5 (-110)
Movement No significant line movement detected
Net injury edge to ANA (+3.2%) but EDM less impacted in key roles High total 7.5 suggests offensive spot but NHL variance high
Marginal EV on EDM ML/spread after vig removal; +28.5% EV on away spread per +EV analysis
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp money hammers EDM spread (12.8% edge) and ML despite extreme whale volume ($1.2M) + PM on ANA; injuries net +3% home but McDavid (3.8 SOG/10) carries. High 7.5 total but sharp under + lambda adj down. Degraded data caps at leans only.
SHARP MONEY
12.8% sharp edge on spread away + 1.1% ML away; strong signal despite PM/whale home divergence
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Edmonton Oilers -1.5
+5.2 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
+1.8 EV 58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 7.5
+1.2 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Edmonton Oilers -135
  • Moderate sharp ML edge (1.1%) with our prob 59% > 57.4% breakeven
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Edmonton Oilers -1.5
  • Sharp 12.8% edge on away spread + +28.5% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (away 34.7%)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 7.5
  • Sharp edge on under (1.1%) despite cross-market over lean; NHL totals model 48.7% WR
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ducks +1.5: +26% EV sharp RLM + extreme $784k whales +9.5% injury edge vs OMEGA even line
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