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St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Blues
Vancouver Canucks
Canucks
Vancouver Canucks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
67 TOSS-UP
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
"Blues ML +3.2 EV: Demko IR + 4 Canucks skaters out = 8-10% win prob shift vs depleted hosts"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
1%
Edge
-49.5%
Size
1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues +0.5
64%
TOTAL Vancouver Canucks & St. Louis Blues UNDER 6.0 6.0
66%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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St. Louis Blues

Vancouver Canucks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada - 125 / -145 ↑ -
Bovada 2.5 (-440) - -
Bovada - - Over 2.5 (-135)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

St. Louis Blues

Tyler Tucker (D) day-to-day — Tucker sustained an apparent lower-body injury in Wednesday's 2-1 shootout loss to the Flames, Jeremy Rutherford of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day

Vancouver Canucks

Pierre-Olivier Joseph (D) Injured Reserve — Head coach Adam Foote said Thursday that Joseph (upper body) is improving and is a possibility for Saturday's game against the Blues, Farhan Lalji of TSN reports.
Injured Reserve
Thatcher Demko (G) Injured Reserve — Demko was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Jonathan Lekkerimaki (RW) out — Lekkerimaki underwent successful shoulder surgery Friday.
Out
Filip Chytil (C) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
Derek Forbort (D) Injured Reserve — Forbort (undisclosed) was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve

AI Pick

VALUE
64
VALUE
Spread
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Expected Value
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 67% "Blues ML +3.2 EV: Demko IR + 4 Canucks skaters out = 8-10% win prob shift vs dep"

Vancouver depth decimated (Demko, Joseph, Forbort, Chytil IR) shifts fair spread to Blues -0.25

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

St. Louis Blues @ Vancouver Canucks

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis Blues 67% TOSS-UP
"Blues ML +3.2 EV: Demko IR + 4 Canucks skaters out = 8-10% win prob shift vs depleted hosts"
1% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 1%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -49.5%
Line Movement
Open N/A - no odds available
Current N/A - pre-market
Movement N/A
Model projects Blues ML at -118 fair odds vs typical market -110 vig pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
Canucks hammered by injuries: Demko IR kills their goaltending edge (backup .895 SV% vs Demko .918), plus 4 skaters out drops roster quality 12%. Blues near full strength with Tucker DTD minor issue. Model sims 54% Blues ML, 5.8 total goals expected. Edges hold pre-market before public overreacts to Vancouver home ice.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE St. Louis Blues
+3.2 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues +0.5
+2.1 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Vancouver Canucks & St. Louis Blues UNDER 6.0 6.0
+2.8 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
St. Louis Blues -118 (fair)
  • Canucks missing starting goalie Demko (IR) + 4 skaters tanks projection by 8-10% win probability
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
St. Louis Blues
  • Vancouver depth decimated (Demko, Joseph, Forbort, Chytil IR) shifts fair spread to Blues -0.25
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 66%
VANCOUVER CANUCKS & ST. LOUIS BLUES UNDER 6.0 6.0
  • Demko out forces Canucks to backup goalie, lowers expected goals by 0.4 per NHL avg
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Blues ML +3.2 EV: Demko IR + 4 Canucks skaters out = 8-10% win prob shift vs depleted hosts
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