Mixed Martial Arts
Karol Rosa
Rosa
Luana Santos
Santos
Whale Activity Detected
$500 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home
Polymarket: 1 trades
Largest: $500
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAKarol Rosa
Luana Santos
OMEGA Model Lines
MODELSpread
—
Moneyline
LUA -100
/
KAR -100
Win Probability
50%
-
50%
OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Karol Rosa @ Luana Santos
+10.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Luana Santos
60%
Lean
"Santos younger, hotter, and on a streak; Rosa trending down. Model gives Santos 55% win probability, but no market to confirm edge."
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+5.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A (model-generated)
Current
N/A (model-generated)
Movement
No market data available
No situational flags detected
Model sees Santos as slight favorite; no market to compare, but qualitative edge exists.
FULL ANALYSIS
Luana Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak against a fading Karol Rosa, who has lost two straight. Age and momentum favor Santos, but with no market data and poor data quality, confidence is capped. The minor whale signal aligns with Santos, but volume is negligible. This is a speculative lean, not a high-conviction play.
SHARP MONEY
Minor whale signal ($500 volume) favors Santos (HOME), but sample is negligible.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
60%
Luana Santos -122
- Santos is younger (24 vs 31), on a 2-fight win streak, while Rosa has lost 2 straight
- Momentum and age favor Santos
SPREAD PICK
○
55%
Luana Santos 0.0
- Spread not applicable for MMA; included to satisfy schema
- No edge
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 2.5
- Total rounds not reliably predictable; included to satisfy schema
- No edge
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
No actionable edge — 24% data quality, 0% calibration in ARTS, zero signals converge. Hard pass.
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