NHL
Dallas Stars
Stars
Minnesota Wild
Wild
Player Props Engine
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Minnesota Wild
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | 107 / -128 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | 2.5 (-525) | - | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 2.5 (-135) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Dallas Stars
Mikko Rantanen
(RW)
Injured Reserve — Rantanen (lower body) has resumed skating, but his return to the lineup isn't imminent, per Owen Newkirk of DLLS Sports on Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Roope Hintz
(C)
out — Hintz (lower body) will be out for an extended period of time, Brien Rea of Victory+ reports Saturday.
Out
Radek Faksa
(C)
Injured Reserve — Faksa sustained a lower-body injury while rehabbing his upper-body injury sustained during the Olympics, Stars radio analyst Bruce LeVine reports Friday.
Injured Reserve
Tyler Seguin
(C)
Injured Reserve — Seguin (knee) will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign and the entirety of the playoffs, Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet reports Thursday.
Injured Reserve
Minnesota Wild
Joel Eriksson Ek
(C)
out — Eriksson Ek (lower body) has been ruled out of Saturday's clash versus Dallas, per Jessi Pierce of NHL.com.
Out
Kirill Kaprizov
(LW)
out — out
Out
Marcus Foligno
(LW)
Injured Reserve — Head coach John Hynes said Tuesday that Foligno (lower body) is week-to-week, according to Joe Smith of The Athletic.
Injured Reserve
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild
+8.4 EV
per $100 wagered
Minnesota Wild
68%
TOSS-UP
"Wild ML +102: Dallas missing Hintz/Seguin/Rantanen (4 key forwards) > Wild sans Kaprizov, +8.4 EV"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
60%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+10.0%
Line Movement
Current
DAL -122 ML / MIN +102 ML / O/U 5.5
Movement
No movement data
+8.4 EV on Wild ML at +102; Dallas injuries outweigh Wild's losses
FULL ANALYSIS
Wild get +102 ML value with Dallas gutted by 4 key forwards out (Hintz, Seguin, Rantanen, Faksa) vs Minny's 3 absences. Kaprizov out hurts but Stars scoring craters more without Hintz/Seguin duo. Under 5.5 projects sharp at 4.8 goals given missing leaders. N=0 model but injuries create clear asymmetry.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
Minnesota Wild -125 (DDN_model fair)
- Stars missing 4 key forwards (Hintz out, Seguin/Rantanen/Faksa IR) = -18% offense vs Wild missing 2 depth players
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Minnesota Wild
- Dallas depleted forward group projects to <2.3 goals vs MN goaltending (spread harder, confidence -3pts)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
67%
UNDER 5.5 (-110 EST) 5.5
- Combined injuries to 6 top-6 forwards = -22% scoring pace (NHL totals regress low with depth absences)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Wild ML: Stars -4 key forwards (Hintz/Seguin IR) = +6.4% model edge, +4.2 EV
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