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Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams
Rams
Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
Full Game Analysis
NFL
Ω OMEGA PICK +50.0% EV ALIGNED
62% Lean
62% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams -3.5
"Rams +3.5 gets key-number hook and Under 42.5 has 4-point OMEGA gap (38.5 vs 42.5)"
EV / $100
+4.1
Win Prob
55%
Edge
+2.2%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Rams None
65%
TOTAL under 42.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 13.0% divergence on spread with strong signal. RLM detected on spread.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$802127 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 153 trades Kalshi: 13 trades Largest: $129600
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
3.0
Edge: -0.5
Total
38.5
Edge: -4.0
Win Prob
26.7%
ML
275 / -275
⚠
Key Number Alert
KEY NUMBER: Spread at 3.5, just past 3. 14.8% of NFL games land on 3. If your book offers 3.0, take it at up to -125.

Player Props Engine

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Los Angeles Rams

Philadelphia Eagles

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 165 / -195 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 166 / -191 -
Sharp Action Best Line 10.5 (-300) - -
Market Consensus 3.5 (-104) ↓ - -
Value Line 3.5 (-113) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 43.5 (103)
De-Vigged Fair Value 102 / -102 180 / -180 O/U 110 / -110
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Rams

J
Josaiah Stewart
(LB) questionable — questionable
Questionable
A
Alex Bachman
(WR) active — The Rams signed Bachman from their practice squad to their 53-man roster Saturday.
Active
K
Kamren Kinchens
(S) active — Kinchens (hamstring) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Eagles.
Active
N
Nate Landman
(LB) active — Landman (shoulder) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Eagles.
Active
D
Davante Adams
(WR) active — Adams will serve as the Rams' WR2 against the Eagles on Sunday after Puka Nacua (hip) was cleared to play, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports.
Active
J
Josh Wallace
(CB) active
Active
J
Jaylen Watson
(CB) out — Watson (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports.
Out
C
Colby Parkinson
(TE) questionable — Parkinson (shoulder/knee) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports.
Questionable
P
Puka Nacua
(WR) active — Head coach Sean McVay said Nacua (hip) won't have an injury designation ahead of Sunday's game at Philadelphia, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports.
Active
T
Terrance Ferguson
(TE) Injured Reserve — Ferguson (ankle) is out for Sunday's game against Philadelphia, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports.
Injured Reserve
A
Aaron Donald
(DT) out — Donald (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports.
Out
D
Dean Connors
(RB) active — The Rams signed Connors from the practice squad to the active roster Tuesday.
Active
H
Harrison Mevis
(PK) active — Mevis went 4-for-4 on field-goal attempts and made both of his PATs during Sunday night's 30-26 loss to the Broncos.
Active
B
Bill Murray
(G) active
Active
C
CJ Daniels
(WR) active
Active
T
Tutu Atwell
(WR) active
Active
M
Maximus Pulley
(S) active
Active
T
Tyler Higbee
(TE) active — Higbee caught eight of 11 targets for 62 yards and a touchdown during Sunday night's 30-26 loss to the Broncos.
Active
K
Konata Mumpfield
(WR) active — Mumpfield caught four of eight targets for 93 yards and a touchdown during Sunday night's 30-26 loss to Denver.
Active
B
Blake Corum
(RB) active — Corum rushed six times for 15 yards and caught two of four targets for no gain during Sunday night's 30-26 loss to Denver.
Active
K
Kyren Williams
(RB) active — Williams rushed 15 times for 88 yards while catching six of seven targets for 70 yards in Sunday's 30-26 loss to the Broncos.
Active
M
Matthew Stafford
(QB) active — Stafford completed 30 of 55 passes for 390 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in Sunday's 30-26 loss to the Broncos. He also rushed twice for 13 yards.
Active
T
Ty Simpson
(QB) active — Simpson (coach's decision) is inactive but will serve as the Rams' emergency third quarterback for Sunday night's contest against the Broncos, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports.
Active
M
Myles Garrett
(DE) Injured Reserve — Garrett (knee) is facing a six-week recovery from surgery on his left knee, but the pass rusher is determined to be back before then, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network and ESPN reports.
Injured Reserve
J
Jordan Whittington
(WR) active — Whittington (quadriceps) does not carry an injury designation ahead of Sunday's game versus Denver, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports.
Active

Philadelphia Eagles

J
Josiah Deguara
(TE) active — The Eagles elevated Deguara on Saturday ahead of Sunday's matchup against the Rams.
Active
Z
Zach Ertz
(TE) active — The Eagles elevated Ertz from the practice squad to the active roster Saturday ahead of Sunday's game against the Rams.
Active
F
Fred Johnson
(OT) out — Johnson (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Out
M
Makai Lemon
(WR) active — Lemon and Dontayvion Wicks will both operate in larger roles against the Rams on Sunday due to the absence of DeVonta Smith (hamstring), Chris McPherson of the Eagles' official site reports.
Active
D
Dontayvion Wicks
(WR) active — Wicks will operate as the top wide receiver against the Rams on Sunday due to the absence of DeVonta Smith (hamstring), Chris McPherson of the Eagles' official site reports.
Active
M
Marcus Epps
(S) out — Epps (groin) is listed as out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Out
Z
Zack Baun
(LB) out — Baun (concussion) won't play in Sunday's game against the Rams.
Out
H
Hollywood Brown
(WR) out — Brown (ankle) is listed as out ahead of Sunday's game against the Rams.
Out
W
Will Shipley
(RB) active — Shipley (foot) practiced in full on Friday and does not carry an injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Rams.
Active
M
Moro Ojomo
(DT) active
Active
D
Dallas Goedert
(TE) out — Goedert (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Out
D
DeVonta Smith
(WR) out — Smith (hamstring) remained sidelined for Friday's practice, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports.
Out
J
Jihaad Campbell
(LB) active — Campbell (knee) was a full participant in Thursday's practice.
Active
T
Tanner McKee
(QB) active
Active
A
AJ Epenesa
(DE) active
Active
C
Cole Payton
(QB) active
Active
K
Kenny Moore II
(CB) active — The Eagles signed Moore from the practice squad to the active roster Tuesday.
Active
J
Jake Elliott
(PK) active — Elliott converted his sole PAT and attempted no field goals in the Eagles' 27-7 loss to the Bears on Monday night.
Active
T
Tank Bigsby
(RB) active — Bigsby caught his only target for five yards Monday in a Week 3 loss to the Bears. He also lost a fumble.
Active
J
Jalen Hurts
(QB) active — Hurts completed 16 of 25 passes for 153 yards with no touchdowns and one interception while rushing four times for 25 yards and a touchdown in the Eagles' 27-7 loss to the Bears on Monday night.
Active
S
Saquon Barkley
(RB) active — Barkley rushed 15 times for 82 yards and secured one of two targets for minus-2 yards in the Eagles' 27-7 loss to the Bears on Monday night.
Active
J
Jonathan Greenard
(LB) active — Greenard (pectoral) is active for Monday night's matchup with Chicago.
Active
A
Andrew Mukuba
(S) active — Mukuba (knee) was a full participant in Friday's practice.
Active
J
Jalen Carter
(DT) active — Carter (wrist) was a full participant in Friday's practice.
Active
D
Darius Cooper
(WR) active — Cooper caught two of three targets for 26 yards and a touchdown in the Eagles' 24-20 win over the Titans on Sunday.
Active
Game Preview
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles
until kickoff
Current Line
Spread 10.5 (-300)
Total Over 43.5
Key Injuries
Josaiah Stewart Questionable
Alex Bachman Active
Josiah Deguara Active
Zach Ertz Active
Analysis starts at kickoff

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-112) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-04T08:06:19.039568 UTC

Market/team strength inconsistency favors Rams getting +3.5 with OMEGA score gap only 3.2 points (17.6-20.8) and key-number 3.5 hook.

Moneyline: Los Angeles Rams (-180) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-02T18:47:29.210685 UTC

OMEGA away win prob 73.3% (100-26.7) vs -180 implied 64.3% = +9.0pp model gap.

Player Prop: under (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-02T18:47:29.242515 UTC

Eagles run defense ranks top-10 in DVOA; Rams may abandon run early if trailing; extreme heat limits RB workload in second half

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

+4.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Rams 62% Lean
"Rams +3.5 gets key-number hook and Under 42.5 has 4-point OMEGA gap (38.5 vs 42.5)"
55% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 55%
Book Implied 53%
Edge +2.2%
Line Movement
Current Eagles -3.5 / Total 42.5 / Rams -180
Movement No open line supplied
Away +3.5 at -112: 55% cover vs 52.8% implied = +4.1 per $100. Marginal edge, display-tier only.
FULL ANALYSIS
Books disagree with themselves: Rams -180 but Eagles -3.5. OMEGA sides with Rams (73.3% win, +3.5 value) and strongly under (38.5 vs 42.5). Display only, no validated edge cell.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Rams -3.5
+4.1 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Rams None
+5.5 EV 65% 0.5u
TOTAL under 42.5
+3.2 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Los Angeles Rams -180
  • OMEGA away win prob 73.3% (100-26.7) vs -180 implied 64.3% = +9.0pp model gap
SPREAD PICK
○ 62%
Los Angeles Rams -3.5
  • Market/team strength inconsistency favors Rams getting +3.5 with OMEGA score gap only 3.2 points (17.6-20.8) and key-number 3.5 hook
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
UNDER 42.5
  • OMEGA 38.5 and decomposed 39.3 both 3+ points under 42.5 with EWMA form 18.9+17.1=36.0
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Rams +3.5 catches the key number hook at 3.5 (OMEGA line -3.0) and under 42.5 benefits from 4-point model gap + extreme heat under bias
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