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Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Suns
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +67.2% EV
66% Sharp Lean
66% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Phoenix Suns Phoenix Suns -10.5
"Bulls injury apocalypse (Simons OUT + Giddey DTD) vs sharp over steam +66% EV; Suns -10.5 1u, over 239.5 1.5u"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
78%
Edge
+28.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Phoenix Suns None
55%
TOTAL over 239.5
70%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 21.3% divergence on total with strong signal.
Sharp: over Boost: +2

Player Props Engine

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Phoenix Suns

Chicago Bulls

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 335 / -450 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 351 / -425 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 26.5 (240)
Market Consensus - - Over 240.5 (-103)
Market Consensus Best Line 10.0 (-110) - -
Value Line 10.5 (-114) ↓ - -
Fair Value Fair Value -105 / 105 397 / -397 O/U 103 / -103
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Phoenix Suns

A
Amir Coffey
(G) out — Coffey (ankle) is questionable for Sunday's game in Chicago.
Out
H
Haywood Highsmith
(F) out — Highsmith (knee) is out for Sunday's game against Chicago.
Out

Chicago Bulls

M
Matas Buzelis
(F) day-to-day — Buzelis is questionable for Sunday's game against the Suns.
Day-To-Day
A
Anfernee Simons
(G) out — Simons (wrist) remains out for Sunday's game against Phoenix.
Out
C
Collin Sexton
(G) day-to-day — Sexton is probable to play Sunday against the Suns due to a right finger injury.
Day-To-Day
L
Lachlan Olbrich
(C) day-to-day — Olbrich (foot) is probable for Sunday's game versus the Suns.
Day-To-Day
J
Josh Giddey
(G) day-to-day — Giddey (hamstring) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Suns.
Day-To-Day
N
Nick Richards
(C) out — Richards (elbow) is questionable for Sunday's game against Phoenix.
Out
J
Jalen Smith
(F) out — Smith (calf) will miss the remainder of the season, Joel Lorenzi of The Athletic reports.
Out
Z
Zach Collins
(F) out — Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
N
Noa Essengue
(F) out — Essengue will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out
Game Preview
Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 26.5
Spread 10.0 (-110)
Key Injuries
Amir Coffey Out
Haywood Highsmith Out
Matas Buzelis Day-To-Day
Anfernee Simons Out
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Phoenix Suns 66% Sharp Lean
"Bulls injury apocalypse (Simons OUT + Giddey DTD) vs sharp over steam +66% EV; Suns -10.5 1u, over 239.5 1.5u"
78% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 78%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +28.0%
Line Movement
Current PHX -10.5 (Away -102 / Home -118) | O/U 239.5 | ML: Bulls +360 / Suns -470
Movement No movement data
No positive EV on Suns ML (breakeven 82.5%, our prob 78% < threshold by 4.5%); spread EV +1.8%; total over shows +EV vs sharp fair value
Model: 47.8% win rate | n=343 — NBA 164-179 (N=343); poor vs Bulls (7-20); tier data shows 73-79 calibrated/profitable
FULL ANALYSIS
Bulls roster decimated (Simons OUT + 4 day-to-day including Giddey their leader 17/9/8), Suns missing just Coffey/Highsmith but Booker (26 PPG) feasts. Sharp money hammers over (20.8% edge, +66% EV Bovada +240) vs high 239.5 line. Suns spread playable despite juice but ML -470 traps (our 78% < 82.5% breakeven); model conservative given 47.8% NBA WR.
SHARP MONEY
Weak sharp edge on Suns spread/ML (0.7%/0.4%), strong signal on over (20.8% divergence); model calibration poor vs Bulls (7-20)
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Phoenix Suns -10.5
+3.2 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE Phoenix Suns None
-2.1 EV 55%
TOTAL over 239.5
+6.6 EV 70% 1.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Phoenix Suns -520
  • Juice too high at -520 (breakeven 83.9%); our 78% prob insufficient per ML value filter
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Phoenix Suns -10.5
  • Bulls missing 5 players (Richards, Simons, Smith, Collins, Essengue) cripples frontcourt depth vs Suns' Booker/Green core
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 234.5
  • Depleted rosters increase pace and variance; both teams feature high-usage guards (Giddey/Booker) projecting 235+ combined
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Suns -10.5 (+3.8 EV): Bulls missing 5 players including entire frontcourt vs Booker's 26pt projection
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