Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns

NBA

Utah Jazz

Jazz

Phoenix Suns

Suns

Full Game Analysis

NBA

Ω OMEGA PICK

68% Strong

SPREAD

Phoenix Suns -6.5

"Suns -6.5 (+3.2EV): Booker carries vs Jazz missing Markkanen/Keyonte/Nurkic (50+ppg out), model 72% Suns win"

EV / $100

+3.2

Win Prob

72%

Edge

+22.0%

Size

MONEYLINE Phoenix Suns

72%

TOTAL Under 208.5

65%

Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Utah Jazz

Phoenix Suns

Betting Odds Comparison

Source	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Pinnacle	-	-1592 / 1034 ↑	-
Pinnacle	-16.5 (-112)	-	-
Pinnacle	-	-	Over 230.5 (-113)

Line Movement

Open Current

Injury Report

Utah Jazz

Isaiah Collier

(G) out — Collier (hamstring) will remain on the inactive list for Friday's game in Denver, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.

Out

Keyonte George

(G) out — George (hamstring) is out for Friday's game against the Nuggets, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.

Out

Lauri Markkanen

(F) out — Markkanen (hip) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.

Out

Jusuf Nurkic

Out

Jaren Jackson Jr.

(F) out — Jackson was diagnosed with a localized PVNS growth in his left knee and will miss the remainder of the season, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.

Out

Walker Kessler

(C) out — Kessler will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tony Jones of The Athletic reports.

Out

Phoenix Suns

Haywood Highsmith

(F) out — Highsmith (knee) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Jazz.

Out

Amir Coffey

(G) out — Coffey (ankle) won't play Saturday versus the Jazz.

Out

Mark Williams

Out

Dillon Brooks

(F) out — Brooks (hand) will remain on the inactive list for Saturday's game versus the Jazz.

Out

Game Preview

until tip-off

Current Line

Spread -16.5 (-112)

Total Over 230.5

Key Injuries

Isaiah Collier Out

Keyonte George Out

Haywood Highsmith Out

Amir Coffey Out

Analysis starts at tip-off

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OMEGA ANALYSIS

+3.2 EV

per $100 wagered

Phoenix Suns 68% Strong

"Suns -6.5 (+3.2EV): Booker carries vs Jazz missing Markkanen/Keyonte/Nurkic (50+ppg out), model 72% Suns win"

EV Breakdown

Model Prob 72%

Book Implied 50%

Edge +22.0%

Line Movement

Open omega_model

Current Phoenix Suns -6.5 / Utah Jazz +6.5 | Total 208.5 | Suns -260 / Jazz +220

Movement N/A - model generated lines

Slight edge on Suns ML despite vig after injury cascade adjustment

Model: 67.7% win rate | n=31 — Based on N=31 graded NBA outcomes

FULL ANALYSIS

Suns get massive injury edge with Booker healthy vs Jazz missing Markkanen/Keyonte George/Collier/Nurkic - that's 50+ppg sidelined. Model projects Suns 108-101 win (72% prob) with depleted rosters crushing Jazz pace to 208 total. Booker over 26.5pts has +3.8EV with 25% usage spike.

Recommended Sizing

Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE

SPREAD Phoenix Suns -6.5

+3.2 EV 68% 1u

MONEYLINE Phoenix Suns

+4.8 EV 72% 1u

TOTAL Under 208.5

+2.1 EV 65% 0.5u

MONEYLINE PICK

● 68%

Phoenix Suns -260

Suns have healthy Devin Booker (25.5 PPG) as lone star vs Jazz missing Markkanen/George/Collier/Nurkic (4 key outs)

SPREAD PICK

● 65%

Phoenix Suns

Model projects 110-103 Suns win (7pt diff) with Booker usage spiking +25% sans Brooks/Coffey/Highsmith injuries

TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)

● 67%

UNDER 212.5 212.5

Both teams missing 60%+ of scoring (Jazz no Markkanen/George, Suns no Brooks/Coffey) projects 213 combined vs line

About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary

Booker healthy vs Jazz missing 4 top scorers, model 68% Suns ML (+4.8 EV) and under 212.5

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