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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Athletics
Athletics
Athletics
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +7.7% EV ALIGNED
50% Lean
50% Lean
MONEYLINE
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers None
"Athletics +1.5 vs Dodgers: model sees 53.9% cover probability, +2.9 EV per $100, despite sharp money on Dodgers spread."
EV / $100
+2.3
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+3.9%
SPREAD Athletics 1.5
55%
TOTAL over 10.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 7.0% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$988154 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (83% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 331 trades Kalshi: 146 trades Largest: $52000
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: -1.5
Total
22.5
Edge: +12.0
Win Prob
27.9%
ML
259 / -259

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Los Angeles Dodgers

Athletics

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 125 / -149 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 105 / -113 -
Value Line - 123 / -152 -
Sharp Action Best Line 2.5 (-200) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-148) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 10.5 (-111)
De-Vigged Fair Value -141 / 141 109 / -109 O/U -105 / 105
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

T
Tyler Glasnow
(SP) 60-day IL — Glasnow (back) has been cleared to begin a throwing program, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
W
Will Smith
(C) 10-day IL — Smith (neck) isn't expected to be ready to return from the 10-day injured list when the Dodgers begin a 10-game homestand Thursday to close out their first-half schedule, MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Blake Treinen
(RP) 15-day IL — Treinen does not have any structural damage in his injured right elbow, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 60-day IL — Snell (elbow) threw a 15-pitch bullpen session Friday, and manager Dave Roberts said it went well, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 60-day IL — Knack (chest) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, yielding two runs on five hits and one walk over 1.1 innings.
60-Day-IL
K
Kendall George
(CF) out — George (knee) has been rehabbing at the Dodgers' spring training facility in Arizona and is on track to return after the All-Star break, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
Out
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 60-day IL — Diaz (elbow) is throwing in the bullpen Friday at Dodger Stadium, reports Jack Harris of the California Post.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 10-day IL — Hernandez (oblique) has started some baseball activities but remains in the early stages of his rehab, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
C
Chris Campos
(SP) day-to-day
Day-To-Day
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, yielding one hit and one walk over two-thirds of a scoreless frame.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — Miller (shoulder/back) will resume throwing off the mound this week, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.
60-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed Tuesday that Stone has been unable to ramp up his throwing without feeling soreness in his surgically repaired right shoulder, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 60-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) underwent surgery recently for a back injury he suffered while on a rehab assignment, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 60-day IL — Casparius (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL

Athletics

J
Jose Suarez
(RP) Paternity — The Athletics placed Suarez on the paternity leave list Monday.
Paternity
T
Tyler Soderstrom
(LF) 10-day IL — Soderstrom (hip) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Angels.
10-Day-IL
J
Jacob Wilson
(SS) 10-day IL — Wilson (shoulder) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Angels.
10-Day-IL
W
Wei-En Lin
(P) out — Lin is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
Out
Z
Zack Gelof
(3B) 10-day IL — The Athletics placed Gelof on the 10-day injured list Thursday with a right hand contusion.
10-Day-IL
M
Mark Leiter Jr.
(RP) 15-day IL — Leiter (hip) began a throwing progression Monday, MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Brent Rooker
(DH) 10-day IL — Rooker (knee) is still not participating in any baseball activities as of Tuesday, MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
D
Denzel Clarke
(CF) 60-day IL — Clarke (hamstring) has started to play catch and has also begun a swinging progression, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
L
Luis Severino
(SP) 60-day IL — The Athletics transferred Severino (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
B
Brooks Kriske
(RP) 60-day IL — Kriske (shoulder) began a throwing progression Thursday, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
G
Gunnar Hoglund
(SP) 60-day IL — Hoglund (knee/back) will be sidelined for the rest of the 2026 season after undergoing surgery on his left hip Monday.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-200)
Total Over 10.5
Key Injuries
Tyler Glasnow 60-Day-IL
Will Smith 10-Day-IL
Jose Suarez Paternity
Tyler Soderstrom 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Athletics

+2.33 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 50% Lean
"Athletics +1.5 vs Dodgers: model sees 53.9% cover probability, +2.9 EV per $100, despite sharp money on Dodgers spread."
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +3.9%
Line Movement
Current Spread: 1.5, Total: 10.5, ML: Home +128 / Away -155
Movement No significant movement detected
Small positive edge on Athletics +1.5, but data quality concerns and conflicting sharp signals limit conviction.
FULL ANALYSIS
Conflicting signals abound: sharp money on spread favors Dodgers, but model sees Athletics +1.5 as a slight value play with 53.9% cover probability. The total over 10.5 shows a massive 65.2% model probability, but the OMEGA independent line of 22.5 is clearly erroneous, casting doubt on the edge. With data quality degraded and model agreement very low, only the spread pick carries a modest edge worth a small play.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 7.0% on spread favors away (Dodgers), but prediction markets and whales lean home. Overall sharp money tilts toward away side.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers None
+2.3 EV 50%
SPREAD Athletics 1.5
+2.9 EV 55% 0.5u
TOTAL over 10.5
+24.5 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Los Angeles Dodgers -155
  • Model shows 62.2% win probability but breakeven is 60.8%, insufficient edge per ML filter (need >5pp above breakeven)
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
Athletics 1.5
  • Bayesian posterior 53.9% vs market 50%, +3.9pp edge on home cover
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
OVER 10.5
  • Bayesian posterior 65.2% vs market 50%, +15.2pp edge on over
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers ML at -125: Bayesian fusion shows 59.1% win prob vs 51.2% market — +7.9pp edge. Over 10.5: OMEGA projects 22.5 runs — +15.2pp edge. Sharp money confirms both.
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