MLS
Columbus Crew
Crew
New England Revolution
Revolution
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAColumbus Crew
New England Revolution
Model Lines
MODELSpread
0.9
Moneyline
NEW -114
/
COL 114
Win Probability
53%
-
47%
Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Columbus Crew @ New England Revolution
+11.6 EV
per $100 wagered
Columbus Crew
58%
Lean
Raw
"Kalshi 67% CLB win vs book 56% at -125 (+7.4 EV); pred market divergence with Bayesian alignment"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
62%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+12.0%
Line Movement
Current
CLB -0.5 (NE +0.5 -170 / CLB -0.5 +120) | Total 2.5 | ML NE +195 / CLB -125
Movement
No significant line movement detected
+EV on away ML at -125 (breakeven 55.6%, our 62% exceeds by 6.4%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Kalshi prediction market prices CLB win at 67% vs DraftKings -125 implied 55.6%, creating 11% divergence edge. Bayesian fusion holds market prior at 33.9% NE win (66% CLB), no contradicting signals. Poor data caps confidence; totals weak historically in MLS sims.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
60%
Columbus Crew -125
- Prediction market divergence: Kalshi 67% CLB vs book 55.6% implied
SPREAD PICK
○
58%
Columbus Crew -0.5
- Kalshi implies 67% CLB win/cover prob vs book spread implied ~45% at +120 pricing
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 2.5
- MLS historical avg ~2.8 total goals, but no pace/xG data supports low 2.5 line
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Columbus Crew ML -125: Kalshi 67% win prob vs 56% book implied (+15.2 EV per $100)
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