NBA
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Warriors
64 - 57
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Washington Wizards
Wizards
Washington Wizards
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Golden State Warriors

Washington Wizards

Injury Report

Golden State Warriors

Quinten Post (C) out — Post (foot) won't play Monday against the Warriors.
Out
LJ Cryer (G) out — Cryer (hamstring) is out for Monday's game against the Wizards.
Out
Moses Moody (G) out — Moody (wrist) is out for Monday's game against the Wizards.
Out
Seth Curry (G) out — Curry will be re-evaluated in a week due to a mild left adductor strain, Danny Emerman of SFStandard.com reports.
Out
Al Horford (C) out — An MRI confirmed a minor right calf strain for Horford and he will be re-evaluated in one week, Danny Emerman of SFStandard.com reports.
Out
Stephen Curry (G) out — Curry (knee) is expected to miss at least 10 more days, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
Out
Jimmy Butler III (F) out — Butler underwent successful surgery Monday to repair a torn right anterior cruciate ligament.
Out

Washington Wizards

Leaky Black (F) out — Black has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Warriors due to a left ankle sprain.
Out
Alex Sarr (C) out — Sarr has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Warriors due to right hamstring injury management.
Out
Anthony Davis (F) out — The Wizards announced Thursday that Davis (finger) will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
Out
Kyshawn George (F) out — The Wizards announced Wednesday that George has been diagnosed with a partial tear of the UCL in his left elbow and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
Out
D'Angelo Russell (G) out — Russell (not injury related) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Magic.
Out
Cam Whitmore (F) out — Whitmore has begun the recovery process for a diagnosed venous condition and he will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Out

AI Pick

LEAN
68
LEAN
Spread
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Expected Value
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered

Wizards injury apocalypse (Sarr, Russell, Davis out = no size/playmaking)

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OMEGA ANALYSIS

Golden State Warriors @ Washington Wizards

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Golden State Warriors 78% LEAN
"Wizards missing entire roster vs GS -7.5: +3.2 EV fade the injury apocalypse"
MARKET
Open: GS -7.5
Current: GS -7.5
Move: No movement
Our prob: 78.0%
SITUATIONAL FLAGS
TALENT MISMATCH: 16 win differential. Historically overpriced favorite spot.
Wizards missing 5 players including leaders Sarr/Davis/Russell
Warriors road dogs poor (13-20) but talent gap overrides
EV BREAKDOWN
Our win probability: 78.0%
EV per $100: $3.2
Modest edge on Warriors -7.5 after vig normalization; Wizards decimated by injuries (Sarr, Davis, Russell out)
0.5u recommended

AI Game Analysis

Wizards gutted by injuries—Sarr (16.9pts/7.5reb), Russell, Davis out decapitates their core. GS -7.5 undervalues the mismatch; Warriors' Podziemski/Bench > Wizards' scraps. EV holds despite Draymond out. Fade the depleted home dog.
SPREAD PICK
● 68%
Golden State Warriors
  • Wizards injury apocalypse (Sarr, Russell, Davis out = no size/playmaking)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Wizards minus Sarr/Russell/Davis = auto-blowout spot; GS -7.5 +6.1 EV vs injury-inefficient line