MLS
Nashville SC
SC
Atlanta United FC
FC
Whale Activity Detected
$790412 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away
Polymarket: 159 trades
Largest: $15482
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGANashville SC
Atlanta United FC
Model Lines
MODELSpread
-1.7
Moneyline
ATL 128
/
NAS -128
Win Probability
44%
-
56%
Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Nashville SC @ Atlanta United FC
+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Nashville SC
58%
Lean
Raw
"Nashville ML -110: $778k extreme whale volume on road fave vs 52% implied (+4.6% edge)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
57%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+7.0%
Line Movement
Current
Nashville SC -0.5 (-145) / Atlanta United FC +0.5 (+105); ML Nashville SC -110 / Atlanta United FC +220; Total 2.5 (-110)
Movement
No significant movement detected
+EV on Nashville ML at current -110 (breakeven 52.4%, our prob 57% exceeds by 4.6%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Extreme whale steam ($778k institutional volume, 24 profitable wallets) on Nashville at 67% confidence despite only 52% implied ML prob. Bayesian fusion shows no model edge but whales provide Tier 2 confirmation (+5 conf) on away fave. Poor data (25% signals) caps at lean tier; totals faded per historical 43-52% WR.
SHARP MONEY
Extreme whale volume ($778k from 24 profitable wallets, institutional tier) on Nashville (away) at 67% confidence
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
62%
Nashville SC -110
- Whales crushing Nashville ML with $778k extreme volume vs 52.4% implied prob
SPREAD PICK
○
58%
Nashville SC -0.5
- Extreme institutional whale action ($778k volume) on Nashville covering -0.5
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 2.5
- MLS early-season totals average 2.3 goals, Atlanta turf pace unproven without models
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Whales drop $778k extreme volume on Nashville ML (-110), model 60% win prob = +14.5 EV
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