MLB
New York Yankees
Yankees
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Player Props Engine
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Detroit Tigers
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Gerrit Cole
(SP)
out — Cole (elbow) allowed two hits in one scoreless inning against Boston in a Grapefruit League game Wednesday. He did not walk or strike out any batters.
Out
Carlos Rodon
(SP)
out — Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Rodon (elbow) is not expected to pitch in a Grapefruit League game this spring, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Anthony Volpe
(SS)
out — Volpe (shoulder) went through a high-intensity defensive workout at full speed Thursday and is expected to be about two weeks away from taking live batting practice, Jack Curry of YES Network reports.
Out
Rafael Montero
(RP)
day-to-day — Montero continues to have visa issues and hasn't yet arrived at Yankees camp, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Clarke Schmidt
(SP)
60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) is tentatively slated to being throwing bullpens in March and could face hitters in April or May, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
Detroit Tigers
Sawyer Gipson-Long
(RP)
day-to-day — Gipson-Long (oblique) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Saturday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
Bailey Horn
(RP)
out — Horn (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Friday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
Scott Effross
(RP)
day-to-day — The Tigers reassigned Effross (oblique) to minor-league camp Wednesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
Jake Rogers
(C)
day-to-day — The Tigers and Rogers avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $3.05 million contract Friday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
Jackson Jobe
(SP)
60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) is scheduled to play catch out to 120 feet three times this week, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
Beau Brieske
(RP)
out — Brieske (ribcage) worked around a walk to toss a scoreless inning of relief in Friday's 7-5 loss to the Pirates in Grapefruit League play.
Out
Phil Bickford
(RP)
day-to-day — Bickford was shut down from throwing Tuesday due to a triceps strain, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
Trey Sweeney
(SS)
day-to-day — The Tigers announced Friday that Sweeney (shoulder) has started his throwing program, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
Troy Melton
(RP)
60-day IL — The Tigers announced Friday that Melton (elbow) has started his throwing program, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
60-Day-IL
Dugan Darnell
(RP)
day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
Josue Briceno
(C)
out — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
Tyler Owens
(SP)
day-to-day — Owens (hip) is scheduled to throw his first bullpen session of spring training Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
Troy Watson
(SP)
out — Watson is scheduled to begin a throwing program Monday as he works his way back from arthroscopic right elbow surgery, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
Reese Olson
(SP)
60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday following a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Yankees
65%
TOSS-UP
"Yankees ML despite ace injuries: Gil K-rate edge vs Tigers' 5 DTD pitchers, model +3.2 EV at -145"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
62%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+12.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - Early season game, no lines set
Current
N/A
Movement
No movement - pre-market
+3.2 EV on Yankees ML at estimated -145 fair line
FULL ANALYSIS
Yankees hold talent edge despite losing Cole/Rodon/Volpe - Gil's 17K pace gives them starter upside vs Tigers' 5 Day-To-Day arms. Early season cool temps + pitching chaos caps total at 8. Expect NYY ML -145 fair value with +3.2 EV. Low confidence until lines drop and starters named.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
New York Yankees -125 (DDN_model fair)
- Yankees missing ace rotation (Cole/Rodon out) but Tigers have 4 day-to-day arms; NY depth wins early preseason
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
New York Yankees
- Yankees leaders (Gil 17K, Dominguez 10RBI) outpace Tigers' unproven staff despite injuries
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 7.5 7.5
- Both teams missing key pitchers (Yanks 4 arms out/injured); spring training unders hit 58% with depleted rotations
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Yankees -138 fair ML despite injuries (+4.2 EV) as Tigers' 4 DTD arms create pitching mismatch.
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