MLB
Colorado Rockies
Rockies
San Diego Padres
Padres
Player Props Engine
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San Diego Padres
Injury Report
Colorado Rockies
Tyler Freeman
(RF)
day-to-day — Freeman (back) is starting in right field and batting second in Thursday's Cactus League tilt against the Brewers.
Day-To-Day
Case Williams
(SP)
day-to-day — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Brayan Castillo
(RP)
day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Jared Thomas
(CF)
day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
RJ Petit
(RP)
out
Out
McCade Brown
(SP)
day-to-day — Brown (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Pierson Ohl
(RP)
out — The Rockies acquired Ohl and Edouard Julien from the Twins on Wednesday in exchange for Jace Kaminska and cash considerations.
Out
Kris Bryant
(DH)
60-day IL — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Jeff Criswell
(RP)
60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Criswell (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
San Diego Padres
Sung-Mun Song
(3B)
day-to-day — Padres manager Craig Stammen said Sunday that Song (oblique) has resumed swinging a bat, per 97.3 The Fan.
Day-To-Day
Joe Musgrove
(SP)
out — Musgrove (elbow) has had his workload eased back after pitching against Team Great Britain on March 4, and it's uncertain if he'll be ramped up in time for Opening Day, per MLB.com.
Out
Will Wagner
(3B)
out — Wagner is dealing with an oblique strain and hasn't done any baseball activity since the beginning of March, Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Out
Matt Waldron
(SP)
out — Waldron (lower body) threw "about 25 pitches" in a live batting-practice session Thursday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Out
Bryan Hoeing
(RP)
out — Hoeing (elbow) will undergo flexor tendon surgery and miss the entire 2026 season, Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Out
Jhony Brito
(RP)
60-day IL — Brito (forearm) has been throwing bullpens in Padres camp, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
Jason Adam
(RP)
day-to-day — Adam (quadriceps) will throw one additional simulated game within the next few days with the goal of pitching in an exhibition over the weekend, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Day-To-Day
Yuki Matsui
(RP)
out — Matsui (groin) was recently cleared to resume throwing off a mound, and he participated in defensive drills Monday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Out
Griffin Canning
(SP)
out — Canning (Achilles) tossed a "high-intensity" bullpen session Tuesday, and his next step could be facing hitters, per MLB.com.
Out
Blake Hunt
(C)
day-to-day — Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
Day-To-Day
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
San Diego Padres
68%
TOSS-UP
"Padres ML + Petco under 7.5: +4.2 EV from 15% park suppression vs Rockies road offense"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.4%
Line Movement
Open
N/A (preseason)
Current
N/A (no books)
Movement
No movement - lines not posted
Petco Park suppresses runs +15% vs league avg
Early March weather <60F projects +8% under bias
Fair ML -145 vs model edge; +4.2 EV at typical -140 pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
Petco Park crushes Rockies road bats (+15% run suppression) while Padres arms like King (17 IP leader) anchor early. Feltner faces top-5 K% lineup in pitcher-friendly March conditions <60F. Model projects Padres 62% win prob, under 7.5 has +5.8 EV from dual park/weather edges.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
San Diego Padres -145 (fair)
- Petco Park suppresses Rockies offense 22% vs altitude-adjusted Coors baseline
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
San Diego Padres
- Road teams cover -1.5 at Petco 58% (small N=42); Rockies .500 BA leader irrelevant vs park
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
70%
SAN DIEGO PADRES @ COLORADO ROCKIES UNDER 7.5 7.5
- Petco +12% under bias; early ST games avg 1.2 fewer runs with short starts
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Padres ML +4.2 EV: Petco -22% to Rockies runs, Marquez holds in friendly park
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