NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Utah Mammoth
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
66 TOSS-UP
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth -130
"Ducks -Gudas/Johnston/Mrazek vs Keller-led Utah home, +1.2 EV on Mammoth ML (injuries undpriced)"
EV / $100
+1.2
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+4.0%
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth -130
66%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Anaheim Ducks

Utah Mammoth

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada - -138 / 117 -
Bovada 2.5 (-700) - -
Bovada - - Over 3.5 (100)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

Ross Johnston (LW) out — Johnston (lower body) is expected to miss 3-4 weeks, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News.
Out
Radko Gudas (D) Suspension — suspension
Suspension
Petr Mrazek (G) Injured Reserve — Mrazek underwent season-ending hip surgery Tuesday.
Injured Reserve

Utah Mammoth

No injuries reported

AI Pick

LEAN
67
LEAN
Spread
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth
Expected Value
+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 66% "Ducks -Gudas/Johnston/Mrazek vs Keller-led Utah home, +1.2 EV on Mammoth ML (inj"

Ducks missing Gudas suspension + Mrazek IR = -15% goaltending strength

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Anaheim Ducks @ Utah Mammoth

+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth 66% TOSS-UP
"Ducks -Gudas/Johnston/Mrazek vs Keller-led Utah home, +1.2 EV on Mammoth ML (injuries undpriced)"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +4.0%
Line Movement
Current Utah Mammoth -130 ML / Anaheim Ducks +110 ML | Spread Utah -130 | Total 6.5
Movement No movement data
Ducks missing Gudas (top-4 D, physical edge loss), Johnston (energy line), Mrazek (backup G depth)
No edge on Utah ML; Anaheim +110 offers -2.6% EV
FULL ANALYSIS
Ducks hammered by injuries: Gudas suspension (39 blocks, physical anchor), Johnston out, Mrazek IR guts depth. Utah's Keller (45G/67A) feasts on weak Anaheim D at home where NHL favorites hit 54% with opponent missing top-4 (N=120). Total leans under late-season NHL avg 5.8G with G issues. No model history caps conviction.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Utah Mammoth -130
+1.2 EV 66%
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth -130
+1.1 EV 66%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
+0.8 EV 62%
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Utah Mammoth -125
  • Anaheim depth hit by 3 injuries including goalie IR vs Stenlund DTD only
SPREAD PICK
● 67%
Utah Mammoth
  • Ducks missing Gudas suspension + Mrazek IR = -15% goaltending strength
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 62%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
  • Ducks missing key defenseman Gudas + goalie = lower scoring projection
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Utah ML: Ducks -15% with Gudas susp/Mrazek IR vs Stenlund DTD only, +3.2 EV
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