NHL
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 12.1% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away
Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$351862 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away
Polymarket: 100 trades
Kalshi: 437 trades
Largest: $12781
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAVegas Golden Knights
Utah Mammoth
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | -105 / -115 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | -101 / -111 | - |
| Value Line | - | -104 / -110 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | 2.5 (-575) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | 1.5 (-271) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 25.5 (100) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.0 (102) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -252 / 252 | 105 / -105 | O/U 109 / -109 |
Line Movement
Open
Current
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Vegas Golden Knights @ Utah Mammoth
+5.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Vegas Golden Knights
64%
Sharp Lean
"Vegas -2 sharp 12.1% edge + $94k whale steam vs injured Utah (-6.3%), +5.2 EV"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
56%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+6.5%
Line Movement
Current
Vegas -2.0 (-110) / Utah +2.0 (-110), ML Vegas -114 / Utah +100, Total 4.0 (-110)
Movement
No significant line movement detected
Home injury: Barrett Hayton out (-6.3% lambda adj to Utah)
+4.8 EV on away ML at -114; breakeven 53.3%, our prob exceeds by 3.2%
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharps hammer Vegas spread (12.1% edge, +30.6% EV) with $94k whale volume at 94% away; Utah -6.3% from Hayton out tilts lambda. Total over has RLM +12.7% sharp divergence despite low 4.0 line. Model conservatively leans away across markets given poor NHL calibration.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 12.1% on away spread, 0.6% ML; +30.6% EV on away spread vs Bovada; RLM on total over
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
60%
Vegas Golden Knights -114
- Breakeven 53.3% exceeded by 3.2% (our 56.5%); aligns with sharp weak edge + whale strong away
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Vegas Golden Knights -2.0
- Sharp 12.1% edge on away cover + +30.6% EV vs fair value (28.4% implied); home -6.3% from Hayton injury
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
57%
OVER 4.0
- Sharp 12.7% edge on over with RLM confirmation; fair value 52.7% over
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Utah -1 +37.1% EV from sharp Pinnacle fair value (71.8%) + RLM despite model away lean
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