NHL
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth
Mammoth
Vancouver Canucks
Canucks
Vancouver Canucks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth -1.5
"Utah spread +15.2% sharp divergence (+31% EV), Vancouver missing Demko + 4 skaters"
EV / $100
+8.2
Win Prob
66%
Edge
+16.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth None
66%
TOTAL under 6.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

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Utah Mammoth

Vancouver Canucks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Market Consensus - 184 / -212 -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-139) - -
Market Consensus - - Over 6.5 (101)
Fair Value PIN DE-VIG -129 / 129 193 / -193 O/U 108 / -108
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Utah Mammoth

J
Jack McBain
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
B
Barrett Hayton
(C) out — out
Out

Vancouver Canucks

E
Evander Kane
(LW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
T
Thatcher Demko
(G) Injured Reserve — Demko was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
J
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
(RW) out — Lekkerimaki underwent successful shoulder surgery Friday.
Out
F
Filip Chytil
(C) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
D
Derek Forbort
(D) Injured Reserve — Forbort (undisclosed) was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Utah Mammoth @ Vancouver Canucks
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 1.5 (-139)
Total Over 6.5
Key Injuries
Jack McBain Day-To-Day
Barrett Hayton Out
Evander Kane Day-To-Day
Thatcher Demko Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Utah Mammoth @ Vancouver Canucks

+8.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Mammoth 65% Sharp Lean
"Utah spread +15.2% sharp divergence (+31% EV), Vancouver missing Demko + 4 skaters"
66% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 66%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +16.0%
Line Movement
Current Utah Mammoth -218 ML / Vancouver +180 ML | Spread: Utah -1.5 (-135/+114) | Total: 6.5
Movement No movement data available
No positive EV on Utah ML due to excessive juice; sharp +31% EV on away spread at +200 odds
Model: 42.3% win rate | n=215 — DDN 1-10 vs Utah, 12-7 vs Vancouver; player props 3% hit rate → cap at 60
FULL ANALYSIS
Vancouver decimated by injuries (Demko IR, Kane DTD, 3 others out) vs Utah missing just Hayton; sharp 15.2% spread edge to Mammoth +31% EV at +200. Model sees 66% Utah win prob but -218 juice kills ML value. Under 6.5 gets 3.7% sharp edge as Canucks goalie crisis caps scoring.
SHARP MONEY
15.2% spread edge to away + 0.2% ML edge; strong signal on spread divergence despite no RLM
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Utah Mammoth -1.5
+8.2 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE Utah Mammoth None
-1.8 EV 66%
TOTAL under 6.5
+2.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Vancouver Canucks -247
  • Omega win prob 71.2% matches -247 exactly; no edge after vig and breakeven filter requires 76%+
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Vancouver Canucks 0.0
  • Omega ELO projects Vancouver -2.5 spread despite even puck line; model converges on home win prob 41% vs Utah 28.8%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 19.0
  • Omega Poisson projects 19.2 combined (9.6 each); consistent low-scoring model output in neutral matchup
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Vancouver ML -247 (71% model prob) but no EV; Canucks -0.0 spread +2.1 EV on ELO -2.5 vs even puck line
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