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MLB
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +53.0% EV
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 0.0
"Brewers +184 ML: +16% prob edge (53% DET our vs 69% implied), MC even matchup + injury tilt"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
47%
Edge
-3.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Milwaukee Brewers None
62%
TOTAL over 7.0
52%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 17.8% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$755886 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (90% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 287 trades Kalshi: 964 trades Largest: $20150
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +226.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +17.0
Win Prob
34.9%
ML
186 / -186

Player Props Engine

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Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -240 / 195 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -225 / 198 -
Value Line - -240 / 188 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (225) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (106) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.0 (102)
De-Vigged Fair Value 112 / -112 -213 / 213 O/U 109 / -109
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

Q
Quinn Priester
(SP) 15-day IL — Priester (wrist) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Nashville on Wednesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Andrew Vaughn
(1B) 10-day IL — Brewers manager Pat Murphy said Tuesday that Vaughn (hand) has started swinging a bat, Jack Stern of BrewerFanatic.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jackson Chourio
(CF) 10-day IL — Chourio (hand) will hit on the field Wednesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
G
Gerson Garabito
(RP) day-to-day — Garabito will be out for four months after undergoing surgery to address a broken bone in his foot, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
C
Craig Yoho
(RP) 15-day IL — Yoho (calf) worked around a walk and a hit batsman to deliver a scoreless inning in his first rehab appearance Sunday with Triple-A Nashville.
15-Day-IL
C
Christian Yelich
(LF) 10-day IL — Yelich (groin) is expected to be sidelined until mid- to late-May, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
10-Day-IL
R
Rob Zastryzny
(RP) 60-day IL — Zastryzny (shoulder) was diagnosed with an intercostal strain and will be sidelined until at least late April, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jared Koenig
(RP) 15-day IL — Koenig allowed a hit and struck out one over a scoreless inning to earn the save in Thursday's 5-2 win over the Angels.
15-Day-IL
A
Akil Baddoo
(LF) 60-day IL — The Brewers placed Baddoo (quadriceps) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
J.B. Bukauskas
(RP) day-to-day — Bukauskas will undergo surgery on his injured right lat and be sidelined for 9-to-10 months, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day

Detroit Tigers

B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Horn (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 15-day IL — Verlander (hip) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
Z
Zach McKinstry
(3B) 10-day IL — McKinstry (hip) has resumed light baseball activities, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
10-Day-IL
T
Troy Melton
(RP) 60-day IL — Melton (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Beau Brieske
(RP) 60-day IL — Brieske (groin) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Sweeney (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
S
Scott Effross
(RP) day-to-day — Effross (oblique) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Tyler Owens
(SP) day-to-day — Owens (hip) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Lakeland on Saturday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Troy Watson
(SP) day-to-day — Watson is scheduled to begin a throwing program Monday as he works his way back from arthroscopic right elbow surgery, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) is scheduled to play catch out to 120 feet three times this week, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Dugan Darnell
(RP) day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Josue Briceno
(C) out — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
R
Reese Olson
(SP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday following a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (225)
Total Over 7.0
Key Injuries
Quinn Priester 15-Day-IL
Andrew Vaughn 10-Day-IL
Bailey Horn 60-Day-IL
Justin Verlander 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Milwaukee Brewers 58% Lean Calibrated
"Brewers +184 ML: +16% prob edge (53% DET our vs 69% implied), MC even matchup + injury tilt"
47% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 47%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -3.0%
Line Movement
Current Spread: DET -226, ML: DET -226 / MIL +184, Total: 7.0
Movement No significant line movement detected
away_injury_advantage
+19.5 EV on Brewers ML +184 (our 47% > 35.2% implied); model sims support near-even
FULL ANALYSIS
Tigers -226 overjuiced vs Omega even spread 0.0 and MC 45/47% win probs; Bayesian fuses to 53% DET (value +184 MIL). Injuries ding DET more (-10.6% vs -7.8% MIL). Extreme whale volume home but VERY_LOW model agreement and sharp ML away moderate signal confirm contrarian lean. MC 21.1 total crushes 7.0 line but totals 48.7% historical WR caps conviction.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Milwaukee Brewers 0.0
+4.2 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Milwaukee Brewers None
+19.5 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL over 7.0
+45.0 EV 52%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 62%
Milwaukee Brewers 184
  • Bayesian posterior 53% DET win vs 69% implied (-16% edge to MIL); MC 46.8% MIL win
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Milwaukee Brewers 0.0
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market DET -226 implies massive overjuice on Tigers cover
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 52%
OVER 7.0
  • MC projected 21.1 total (10.5-10.6) vs market 7.0; over ~95% prob
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Models project even matchup (omega 0/-186 MIL) vs -226 Tigers juice, 9% Bayesian edge + MC 46.7% Brewers ML value at +184
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