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Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
76ers
New York Knicks
Knicks
New York Knicks
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +83.3% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia 76ers 6.5
"Sharp 1.8% spread edge PHI +6.5 + 14.9% over total EV vs Pinnacle, whales home but juice kills ML"
EV / $100
+2.8
Win Prob
73%
Edge
+23.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
55%
TOTAL over 215.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 24.4% divergence on total with strong signal.
Sharp: over Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1550995 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (88% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 289 trades Kalshi: 344 trades Largest: $55719

Player Props Engine

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Philadelphia 76ers

New York Knicks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -275 / 225 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -269 / 227 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 22.5 (270)
Market Consensus - - Over 215.0 (-106)
Market Consensus Best Line -7.0 (-108) - -
Value Line -7.0 (-115) ↓ - -
De-Vigged Fair Value -101 / 101 -251 / 251 O/U 102 / -102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Philadelphia 76ers

J
Joel Embiid
(C) day-to-day — Embiid (ankle) is probable for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Knicks on Wednesday, per Adam Aaronson of PhillyVoice.com.
Day-To-Day

New York Knicks

No injuries reported
Game Preview
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 22.5
Spread -7.0 (-108)
Key Injuries
Joel Embiid Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks

+2.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia 76ers 60% Lean
"Sharp 1.8% spread edge PHI +6.5 + 14.9% over total EV vs Pinnacle, whales home but juice kills ML"
73% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 73%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +23.0%
Line Movement
Current NY -6.5 (-115) / PHI +6.5 (-105) | O/U 215.5 | ML NY -270 / PHI +220
Movement No significant movement detected
Embiid DTD (-3.5% PHI performance, +3.5% net home edge)
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp money shows 1.8% spread edge to PHI +6.5 vs Pinnacle fair (50.2% Knicks cover), Embiid DTD caps Knicks margin despite whales ($1.5M extreme home ML). Total over has massive 14.9% sharp divergence +35.5% EV. Degraded data (57%) and overconfident history cap conviction; no ML value at -270 juice.
SHARP MONEY
1.8% sharp edge on spread away (moderate), weak ML away; strong 14.9% over total ignored for game direction
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Philadelphia 76ers 6.5
+2.8 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
-1.2 EV 55%
TOTAL over 215.5
+4.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
New York Knicks -270
  • Bayesian posterior 73% matches implied, no edge
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Philadelphia 76ers 6.5
  • Sharp 1.8% edge on away spread cover vs Pinnacle fair value (home cover 50.2%)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
OVER 215.5
  • Strong 14.9% sharp edge to over + +35.5% EV vs Pinnacle fair (over 49.3%)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Sharp RLM + 3% spread edge 76ers +7.2 / 19.1% over divergence despite $410k whales on Knicks ML
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