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NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω DDN SI PICK +22.3% EV
52% Lean
52% Lean
MONEYLINE
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers None
EV / $100
-7.2
Win Prob
65%
SPREAD Anaheim Ducks 1.5
52%
TOTAL under 6.5
54%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors under side. 6.8% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on total.
Sharp: under Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$19614 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away Polymarket: 14 trades Largest: $6163

Player Props Engine

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Anaheim Ducks

Edmonton Oilers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -177 / 153 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -176 / 155 -
Value Line - -186 / 155 -
Sharp Action Best Line -1.5 (135) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (137) ↓ - -
Value Line -1.5 (128) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 7.0 (110)
Market Consensus - - Over 7.0 (111)
Value Line - - Over 6.5 (-155)
De-Vigged Fair Value 148 / -148 -166 / 166 O/U 119 / -119
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

A
A.J. Greer
(LW) Injured Reserve — Greer (upper body) was placed on injured reserve Monday.
Injured Reserve
T
Troy Terry
(RW) Injured Reserve — Although Terry's (hip) return doesn't appear to be imminent, he is getting close to playing, Derek Lee of The Hockey News reports Saturday.
Injured Reserve
I
Ian Moore
(D) Injured Reserve — Head coach Joel Quenneville said Friday that Moore (lower body) is still "a ways from skating," Patrick Present of The Hockey News reports.
Injured Reserve
R
Ryan Poehling
(C) Injured Reserve — Poehling (knee) is expected to miss 6-8 weeks with an MCL sprain.
Injured Reserve

Edmonton Oilers

I
Isaac Howard
(LW) out — out
Out
Z
Zach Hyman
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
D
Devon Levi
(G) Injured Reserve — Levi (undisclosed) is expected to miss a few weeks, per Jason Gregor of Sports 1440 Edmonton.
Injured Reserve
A
Alec Regula
(D) Injured Reserve — Regula (undisclosed) was designated for long-term injured reserve Thursday.
Injured Reserve
M
Matt Savoie
(C) Injured Reserve — Savoie (lower body) was shifted to long-term injured reserve Thursday.
Injured Reserve
F
Frederik Andersen
(G) Injured Reserve — Andersen (knee) isn't expected back until "maybe" December, head coach Mike Babcock told NHL.com on Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
M
Mattias Janmark
(C) Injured Reserve — Janmark (undisclosed) does not have a timetable for his return from injury.
Injured Reserve
A
Atro Leppanen
(D) Injured Reserve — ir-nr
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (135)
Total Over 7.0
Key Injuries
A.J. Greer Injured Reserve
Troy Terry Injured Reserve
Isaac Howard Out
Zach Hyman Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: Edmonton Oilers (-185) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-03T19:43:37.649743 UTC

No edge: fused posterior 64.9% home exactly matches the -185 implied 64.9%, and Market Consensus fair (62.5%) is actually BELOW the retail price — negative EV on both sides.

Spread: Anaheim Ducks 1.5 (-155) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-04T10:36:43.329899 UTC

No edge: posterior says Ducks cover the +1.5 at 58.6% (posterior +0.2pp edge), but -155 demands 60.8% — price exceeds fair value, so it's a pass not a play.

Total: under 6.5 (+125) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-04T21:37:30.316439 UTC

Sharp signal: 6.1% Market Consensus-vs-retail divergence toward under with RLM, and Market Consensus fair 53.7% under vs +125 retail = +20.8% EV — the strongest market in the game.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-03T19:43:37.711466 UTC

McDavid leads Edmonton with 39 points; heavy usage in a plus matchup vs a depleted Anaheim forward group, but roster unvalidated so confidence capped at 60.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers

+-7.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers 52% Lean
DDN SI sees no actionable edge on this game. Sharp books say under 6.5 at fair 53.7% vs retail +125 (+20.8% EV) — but NHL is in a 0-14u pause, so it's a paper , not a play.
65% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 65%
Book Implied 65%
Edge 0.0%
Line Movement
Open Home ML -185 / Away +154; total 6.5
Current Home ML -185 / Away +154; total 6.5 (over -155/under +125)
Movement No significant line movement detected (flat velocity)
FULL ANALYSIS
Benter flat-line market: every fused posterior sits within 0.2pp of the book, so the ML and spread are pure vig plays. The lone quantifiable discrepancy is the total — Pinnacle fair says under 53.7% while retail hangs +125, a +20.8% EV quote backed by a 6.1% sharp divergence with RLM. But DDN's NHL cell is paused at -13.9% ROI with a 25% CLV beat rate, so the size stays at zero — the play is paper the under at +125 if anything, not commit units.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
-7.2 EV 52%
SPREAD Anaheim Ducks 1.5
-3.8 EV 52%
TOTAL under 6.5
+20.8 EV 54%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 52%
Edmonton Oilers -185
  • No edge: fused posterior 64.9% home exactly matches the -185 implied 64.9%, and Market Consensus fair (62.5%) is actually BELOW the retail price — negative EV on both sides
SPREAD PICK
○ 52%
Anaheim Ducks 1.5
  • No edge: posterior says Ducks cover the +1.5 at 58.6% (posterior +0.2pp edge), but -155 demands 60.8% — price exceeds fair value, so it's a pass not a play
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 54%
UNDER 6.5
  • Sharp signal: 6.1% Market Consensus-vs-retail divergence toward under with RLM, and Market Consensus fair 53.7% under vs +125 retail = +20.8% EV — the strongest market in the game
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Models scream Oilers at +8.6pp over Kalshi, but -249 breakeven (71.4%) tops the 71.1% posterior, whales lean Anaheim, and NHL is paused (-13.9% ROI) - zero-unit everywhere.
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