MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
Los Angeles Angels
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
67 TOSS-UP
MONEYLINE
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers
"Dodgers -145 model fair: Angels Trout/Manoah/Rodriguez DTD pileup = 8% prob edge (+4.2 EV)"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
58%
Edge
+8.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (model)
64%
TOTAL Under 8.5 (model) 8.5
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Angels

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Tommy Edman (2B) out — Edman (ankle) has continued to ramp up his running progression and is also taking on-field batting practice, per MLB.com.
Out
Brusdar Graterol (RP) out — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
Out
Gavin Stone (SP) out — Stone (shoulder) said Sunday that he hopes to begin playing catch next week, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
Out
Blake Snell (SP) out — Snell (shoulder) threw a 15-pitch bullpen session Thursday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
Out
Bobby Miller (SP) day-to-day — Miller (shoulder) threw off a mound Tuesday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Day-To-Day
Enrique Hernandez (1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) said Wednesday that he's optimistic about being activated from the 60-day injured list when first eligible May 24, Jack Vita of the Los Angeles Times reports.
60-Day-IL
Evan Phillips (RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw to a standing catcher "with noticeably more intensity" Tuesday, Courtney Hollmon of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Brock Stewart (RP) out — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Friday that he's been encouraged by how Stewart (shoulder) has looked in bullpen sessions and believes the pitcher's absence to begin the season could be brief, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Out

Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout (RF) day-to-day — Trout had precautionary X-rays come back negative after being hit by a pitch during Friday's spring game against the White Sox, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Alek Manoah (SP) day-to-day — Manoah has recently been managing a fingernail issue, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Grayson Rodriguez (SP) day-to-day — Rodriguez (arm) played light catch Friday and said he doesn't consider his injury serious, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.
Day-To-Day
Vaughn Grissom (2B) day-to-day — Grissom said Wednesday that he received a cortisone shot in his injured left hand this week, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Robert Stephenson (RP) out — Stephenson (shoulder) has had a setback and is going for more tests to determine the next steps in his recovery, Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register reports.
Out
Ben Joyce (RP) out — Joyce (shoulder) has been throwing bullpens but is likely to start the regular season on the injured list, per MLB.com.
Out
Anthony Rendon (3B) out — The Angels and Rendon (hip) have agreed to a contract buyout that will end his tenure with the club, Sam Blum of The Athletic reports.
Out

AI Pick

VALUE
64
VALUE
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Expected Value
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 67% "Dodgers -145 model fair: Angels Trout/Manoah/Rodriguez DTD pileup = 8% prob edge"

Dodgers superior depth despite Snell OUT; Angels Trout absence = -0.8 runs/game projected

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Los Angeles Angels

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers 67% TOSS-UP
"Dodgers -145 model fair: Angels Trout/Manoah/Rodriguez DTD pileup = 8% prob edge (+4.2 EV)"
58% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 58%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +8.0%
Line Movement
Open N/A - Early season Freeway Series
Current N/A - No books open yet
Movement No movement - pre-market
Freeway Series rivalry Angels heavy injuries including Trout DTD Dodgers missing Snell/Graterol but deeper roster
Model fair ML -145 for Dodgers (vs typical -130 market pricing on injured Angels)
FULL ANALYSIS
Angels hammered by injuries—Trout DTD plus Manoah/Grissom/Rodriguez/G Joyce creates massive lineup/pitching holes vs Dodgers' superior depth. Glasnow's 15K dominance and Hernandez's 17 RBI carry LA even without Snell. Model sees 58% Dodgers win prob (-145 fair) with +4.2 EV; fade Angels until health clarifies. Early season CLV projection positive as market lags injury impact.
SHARP MONEY
No public money yet; model projects Dodgers edge on Angels' injury pileup (Trout/Manoah/Rodriguez DTD)
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Dodgers
+4.2 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (model)
+2.8 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Under 8.5 (model) 8.5
+1.9 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Los Angeles Dodgers -140 (model fair)
  • Angels missing Mike Trout DTD (-15% offense projection) + 4 other DTD while Dodgers only lose depth arms
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Dodgers superior depth despite Snell OUT; Angels Trout absence = -0.8 runs/game projected
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 62%
UNDER 8.5 (MODEL) 8.5
  • Combined 10 pitching injuries (Manoah/Rodriguez DTD Angels, Miller DTD Dodgers) = -1.2 runs total projection
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers ML +3.2 EV: Angels Trout/Manoah/Rodriguez DTD cascade = -1.1 run swing vs depleted Dodgers pen
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