MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
Orioles
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIPhiladelphia Phillies
Baltimore Orioles
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Zack Wheeler
(SP)
out — Wheeler (shoulder) will pitch in a minor-league game Monday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Out
Dylan Moore
(2B)
day-to-day — Moore (foot) exercised the opt-out clause in his minor-league contract Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Aidan Miller
(SS)
out — Miller (back) is unlikely to be ready for Opening Day at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, Charlotte Varnes of The Athletic reports.
Out
Johan Rojas
(CF)
Suspension — MLB announced Monday that Rojas has been suspended 80 games for violating the league's policy against performance-enhancing drugs, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
suspension
Michael Mercado
(RP)
day-to-day — The Phillies reassigned Mercado (shoulder) to minor-league camp Thursday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Keaton Anthony
(1B)
out
Out
Max Lazar
(RP)
day-to-day — Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Tuesday that Lazar is dealing with a "mild" oblique injury and is returning to big-league camp to be evaluated, Jayson Stark of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Mark Kolozsvary
(C)
day-to-day — Kolozsvary (undisclosed) agreed to a minor-league contract with the Phillies on Friday that includes an invitation to spring training, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Daniel Robert
(RP)
day-to-day — The Phillies announced Wednesday that Robert will be delayed at the start of spring training due to a cardiovascular issue, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Christian McGowan
(RP)
out — McGowan will miss the remainder of the season following Tommy John surgery, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.
Out
Baltimore Orioles
Dylan Beavers
(RF)
day-to-day — Beavers went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates.
Day-To-Day
Jackson Holliday
(2B)
out — Holliday (hand) took live batting practice Thursday with no issues and is doing so again Friday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
Out
Jordan Westburg
(3B)
out — Westburg (elbow) said Monday that he remains without a timeline to increase his participation in baseball activities, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
Out
Andrew Kittredge
(RP)
out — Orioles manager Craig Albernaz said Wednesday that Kittredge is battling right shoulder inflammation and is "a low probability" to be ready for Opening Day, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
Out
Felix Bautista
(RP)
60-day IL — Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Payton Eeles
(2B)
day-to-day — Eeles left Sunday's spring training game against the Tigers due to left shoulder discomfort, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
Day-To-Day
Keagan Gillies
(P)
out — no
Out
Colin Selby
(RP)
60-day IL — The Orioles placed Selby on the 60-day injured list Saturday with right shoulder inflammation, Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia Phillies
65%
TOSS-UP
"Phillies -110 model edge from Holliday out + Luzardo dominance vs depleted O's (+4.2 EV)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early spring training
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
none
Model estimates Phillies ML -110 fair vs typical -105 market pricing on road favorites
FULL ANALYSIS
Orioles hammered by injuries (Holliday out + 4 others) while Phillies carry Luzardo (13K, 3W leader) against Suarez/Rogers. Model projects Phillies 55% win prob with 4.2 EV at -110 fair odds. Spring training under 7.5 hits 58% with thin lineups both sides.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Baltimore Orioles -110 (est)
- Baltimore deeper roster with 4 key Phillies day-to-day/injured vs only 1 Orioles DTD
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Baltimore Orioles
- Orioles talent depth (Holliday out but Mayo 10HR leader) overwhelms Phillies injury cluster
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 8.5 (EST) 8.5
- Spring training unders hit 62% in March games due to pitch counts/restrictions (N>100 historical)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Orioles ML +3.2 EV: Phillies 5x DTD injuries vs Baltimore's depth + Suarez staff ace (3W/9K)
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700