Home › MLB › Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
MLB
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Giants
San Francisco Giants
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +52.2% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 1.5
"Giants +1.5 (Omega 0.0 spread) + ML value vs juiced Dodgers line, $983k extreme whales on home (MC close -0.4)"
EV / $100
+18.2
Win Prob
0%
Edge
-49.5%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
60%
TOTAL over 7.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 20.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$997087 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 407 trades Kalshi: 562 trades Largest: $50496
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +163.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +17.0
Win Prob
29.9%
ML
235 / -235

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 129 / -154 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 132 / -147 -
Value Line - 133 / -167 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-350) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-134) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.0 (-106)
De-Vigged Fair Value -127 / 127 140 / -140 O/U 101 / -101
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol's velocity during recent bullpen sessions has reached the high-90s as he rehabs from right shoulder surgery, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 15-day IL — Diaz shared on his personal Instagram account Wednesday that he underwent surgery on his throwing elbow.
15-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) has had his rehab assignment transferred from Single-A Ontario to Triple-A Oklahoma City, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Snell (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Ontario on Wednesday, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Betts (oblique) resumed swinging a bat over the weekend, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius said Saturday at DodgerFest, the team's fan event, that he prepared himself as a starting pitcher this offseason, Steve Webb of DodgersBeat.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took live at-bats against Blake Snell (shoulder) on Saturday, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL

San Francisco Giants

J
Jose Butto
(RP) 60-day IL — Butto underwent surgery Saturday to repair an artery in his right arm, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Daniel Susac
(C) 10-day IL — The Giants placed Susac on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with an elbow injury, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jared Oliva
(OF) 10-day IL — Oliva underwent left hamate bone surgery Thursday in Los Angeles, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
10-Day-IL
S
Sam Hentges
(RP) 15-day IL — Hentges (knee/shoulder) struck out one in a scoreless inning during Triple-A Sacramento's 7-6 win over Tacoma on Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
H
Harrison Bader
(LF) 10-day IL — Bader has been dealing with a minor left hamstring injury since spring training, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Joel Peguero
(RP) 15-day IL — Peguero (hamstring) earned a hold and struck out two in a scoreless inning during Triple-A Sacramento's 5-3 win over Las Vegas on Tuesday.
15-Day-IL
P
Parks Harber
(3B) day-to-day — The Giants announced Wednesday that Harber has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain and will require 4-to-6 weeks of recovery time, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jason Foley
(RP) 60-day IL — Foley (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
60-Day-IL
H
Hayden Birdsong
(RP) 60-day IL — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reiver Sanmartin
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
Rowan Wick
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Randy Rodriguez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-350)
Total Over 7.0
Key Injuries
Brusdar Graterol 15-Day-IL
Edwin Diaz 15-Day-IL
Jose Butto 60-Day-IL
Daniel Susac 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants

+18.2 EV
per $100 wagered
San Francisco Giants 60% Lean Calibrated
"Giants +1.5 (Omega 0.0 spread) + ML value vs juiced Dodgers line, $983k extreme whales on home (MC close -0.4)"
0% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 0%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -49.5%
Line Movement
Current ML: Giants +135 / Dodgers -163 | Spread: Dodgers -1.5 -163 | Total: 7.0
Movement No significant line movement detected
Marginal edge on Giants ML (+135) as our 45% exceeds 42.6% breakeven; whale-backed contrarian to sharp spread action
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega spread even at 0.0 and MC -0.4 margin clash with Dodgers -1.5 -163 market; Bayesian edge slight away but VERY_LOW agreement and whales $983k extreme on Giants create contrarian spot. Equal injuries no tilt, no pitchers/weather. Value leans Giants side + run line/ML overreaction.
SHARP MONEY
20.5% sharp edge on Dodgers spread favoring away cover; weak 0.4% ML edge, no RLM
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD San Francisco Giants 1.5
+18.2 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
+5.8 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL over 7.0
+12.4 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 60%
San Francisco Giants 135
  • Extreme whale volume $983k (101 wallets) on Giants at 58% confidence vs sharp/public divergence on Dodgers
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
San Francisco Giants 1.5
  • Omega spread 0.0 and MC margin -0.4 pts vs market Dodgers -1.5 indicates tight game, Giants +1.5 covers ~58%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
OVER 7.0
  • MC projected total ~21 (10.3-10.7 score) vs market 7.0; omega total 24.0 shows massive underpricing
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Giants +1.5: omega 0 spread + MC 52% cover > market, +5.2 EV vs juiced Dodgers RL
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

PULSE · LIVE