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NHL
Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken
Kraken
Winnipeg Jets
Jets
Winnipeg Jets
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +29.2% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets -166
"Jets spread +150 offers +29% EV vs Pinnacle fair line, sharp 10.4% home divergence"
EV / $100
+12.4
Win Prob
62%
Edge
+12.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Winnipeg Jets None
61%
TOTAL over 5.5
56%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 10.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2

Player Props Engine

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Seattle Kraken

Winnipeg Jets

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -170 / 145 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -166 / 146 -
Value Line - -167 / 143 -
Sharp Action Best Line -2.5 (245) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (153) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 3.5 (110)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (103)
Fair Value Fair Value 167 / -167 -157 / 157 O/U 110 / -110
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Seattle Kraken

S
Shane Wright
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
M
Max McCormick
(LW) out — McCormick will miss the entirety of the 2025-26 campaign after undergoing hip surgery, the team announced Tuesday.
Out

Winnipeg Jets

E
Elias Salomonsson
(D) out — out
Out
V
Vladislav Namestnikov
(C) out — out
Out
C
Colin Miller
(D) Injured Reserve — Miller (knee) has resumed skating but is not close to returning to the lineup, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
N
Nino Niederreiter
(RW) Injured Reserve — Niederreiter (lower body) underwent surgery and is considered week-to-week, per Mitchell Clinton.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
Seattle Kraken @ Winnipeg Jets
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (245)
Total Over 3.5
Key Injuries
Shane Wright Day-To-Day
Max McCormick Out
Elias Salomonsson Out
Vladislav Namestnikov Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Seattle Kraken @ Winnipeg Jets

+12.4 EV
per $100 wagered
Winnipeg Jets 64% Sharp Lean
"Jets spread +150 offers +29% EV vs Pinnacle fair line, sharp 10.4% home divergence"
62% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 62%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +12.0%
Line Movement
Current WPG -166 / SEA +140 | Spread WPG -166 (home +150/away -180) | Total 5.5
Movement No movement data
+29% EV on Jets spread +245 at Bovada vs Pinnacle fair 37.4% home cover prob
Model: 48.3% win rate | n=259 — NHL spreads/moneylines profitable lean tier, props losing 28%, totals mixed
FULL ANALYSIS
Jets spread +150 has massive +29% EV vs Pinnacle fair value (37% cover), sharp 10.4% divergence home side despite Kraken +140 ML value. Model poor 48% NHL but lean ML/spreads profitable, Jets depth handles injuries better than Kraken. Low total 5.5 weak over lean from sharp 1% edge.
SHARP MONEY
10.4% sharp edge on spread home side (Pinnacle 39.4% vs retail 29%), strong signal despite weak ML
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Winnipeg Jets -166
+12.4 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE Winnipeg Jets None
+1.8 EV 61% 0.5u
TOTAL over 5.5
+1.2 EV 56%
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Winnipeg Jets -185
  • OMEGA ML favors Jets at 64.9% (ELO 61.9% win prob); model profitable on NHL ML (53.7% strong tier)
SPREAD PICK
● 60%
Winnipeg Jets 0.0
  • ELO projects 3.4pt Winnipeg edge (1490 vs 1405 rating) despite even Poisson goals; Jets 4-2 vs Kraken last 6 H2H
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 19.0
  • OMEGA projects 19.2 combined goals; NHL totals losing across tiers (42.9% sharp lean), model calibrated conservative
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Jets ELO +3.4pt edge (1490 vs 1405) despite even Poisson; model ML profitable at 53.7% strong tier (+1.2 EV)
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