NBA
Indiana Pacers
Pacers
San Antonio Spurs
Spurs
Player Props Engine
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San Antonio Spurs
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -2800 / 1100 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 26.5 (225) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Indiana Pacers
Obi Toppin
(F)
day-to-day — Toppin (foot) is questionable for Saturday's game versus the Spurs.
Day-To-Day
Micah Potter
(C)
out — Potter (triceps) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Spurs.
Out
Ben Sheppard
(G)
day-to-day — Sheppard is questionable for Saturday's game against San Antonio due to a left ankle sprain.
Day-To-Day
T.J. McConnell
(G)
day-to-day — McConnell (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Spurs.
Day-To-Day
Quenton Jackson
(G)
day-to-day — Jackson (calf) is questionable for Saturday's game in San Antonio.
Day-To-Day
Andrew Nembhard
(G)
out — Nembhard (calf) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game in San Antonio.
Out
Aaron Nesmith
(G)
day-to-day — Nesmith is questionable for Saturday's game against San Antonio due to right ankle injury management.
Day-To-Day
Pascal Siakam
(F)
out — Siakam is questionable for Saturday's game against the Spurs with a right knee sprain.
Out
Ivica Zubac
(C)
out — Zubac will miss the rest of the season with a fractured rib, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
Out
Johnny Furphy
(G)
out — Furphy was diagnosed with a torn right ACL on Monday and will miss the remainder of the season, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Out
Tyrese Haliburton
(G)
out — Haliburton said Tuesday in his appearance on the "Mind the Game" podcast that he has resumed taking part in 3-on-3 and 4-on-4 work on the court while he continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Out
San Antonio Spurs
Stephon Castle
(G)
day-to-day — Castle (hip) is questionable for Saturday's game versus the Pacers.
Day-To-Day
David Jones Garcia
(F)
out — Jones Garcia underwent ankle surgery Wednesday and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tom Orsborn of the San Antonio Express-News reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Indiana Pacers @ San Antonio Spurs
+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
San Antonio Spurs
68%
TOSS-UP
"Spurs -4 (+3.1 EV): Pacers missing Siakam/Nembhard/Toppin = -22% net rating vs Wemby-led Spurs"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.4%
Line Movement
Open
N/A (pre-market)
Current
N/A
Movement
No lines available
Model projects Spurs win at 62% vs fair ML implied 55.6%; +4.2 EV on SAS ML at -190
FULL ANALYSIS
Pacers gutted without Siakam (24PPG), Nembhard, Toppin, Potter, and Zubac DTD— that's 40%+ of scoring and playmaking gone. Spurs roll with healthy Wembanyama (24.2PPG/11.1RPG) at home. Model gives SAS 62% win prob; +4.2 EV on ML, low totals from depleted IND offense.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
San Antonio Spurs -190
- Pacers decimated by injuries to top scorer Siakam (24PPG), playmaker Nembhard, and frontcourt depth
SPREAD PICK
●
68%
San Antonio Spurs
- Pacers missing Siakam (24PPG, 6.7RPG), Nembhard, Toppin, and Zubac = -22% net rating impact vs healthy Spurs
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
65%
UNDER 225 225
- Pacers missing Siakam/Toppin/Zubac drops pace and efficiency by 12-15%; Spurs defense + Wemby limits possessions
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Spurs -4 (+3.1 EV): Pacers missing Siakam/Nembhard/Toppin = -22% net rating vs Wemby-led Spurs
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