(D)day-to-day — Salomonsson is in the concussion protocol after getting hurt on a hit in Thursday's game against the Stars, Mike McIntyre of the Winnipeg Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
C
Colin Miller
(D)Injured Reserve — Miller (knee) has resumed skating but is not close to returning to the lineup, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
N
Nino Niederreiter
(RW)Injured Reserve — Niederreiter (lower body) underwent surgery and is considered week-to-week, per Mitchell Clinton.
Injured Reserve
Columbus Blue Jackets
M
Mason Marchment
(LW)day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
@
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread-2.5 (290)
TotalOver 2.5
Key Injuries
Vladislav NamestnikovOut
Elias SalomonssonDay-To-Day
Mason MarchmentDay-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Winnipeg Jets @ Columbus Blue Jackets
+33.9 EV
per $100 wagered
Columbus Blue Jackets
67%
Sharp Lean
"CBJ spread +33.9 EV (Pinnacle 34% fair vs retail 26%) + Jets Namestnikov OUT; sharp RLM under 6.5"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob60%
Book Implied50%
Edge+10.0%
Line Movement
CurrentCBJ -142 ML / Jets +120 | Spread CBJ +180 / Jets -218 | Total 6.5
MovementN/A
Home ML +4.2 EV at -142 despite Jets injuries (Namestnikov OUT, 2 DTD); spread home +33.9 EV vs Pinnacle fair
CBJ spread +33.9 EV vs Pinnacle fair (34% vs 26% implied) w/ Jets missing Namestnikov + 3 D injuries; sharp 9.9% home edge + RLM under 6.5 (7.7% divergence). Model sees 60% CBJ ML (>58.7% breakeven) despite poor DDN vs both (4-9 CBJ, 4-11 Jets). Props lean Marchenko/Scheifele overs on usage but cap 60 confidence no market lines.
SHARP MONEY
9.9% spread edge home + 7.7% total under edge w/ RLM; sharp divergence from retail on CBJ spread (34% fair vs 26% implied)
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREADColumbus Blue Jackets None
+33.9 EV67%1.0u
MONEYLINEColumbus Blue Jackets None
+4.2 EV65%1.0u
TOTALunder 6.5
+5.5 EV64%0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
●
71%
Winnipeg Jets -245
Our 71% win prob exceeds model 71% breakeven (needs 71%), Jets superior ELO 1476 vs 1417 despite injuries
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Winnipeg Jets 0.0
Omega spread even but ELO favors Jets by 2.4pts, Jets 4-8 vs model but CBJ 7-5 model edge