FIFA World Cup
Norway
Norway
Ivory Coast
Coast
Whale Activity Detected
$9537 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Strong away consensus (84% of whale volume).
Whales: away
Polymarket: 10 trades
Largest: $1511
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGANorway
Ivory Coast
OMEGA Model Lines
MODELSpread
0.4
Moneyline
IVO -106
/
NOR 106
Win Probability
51%
-
49%
OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Norway @ Ivory Coast
Norway
55%
Lean
OMEGA model sees no actionable edge on this game. No edge anywhere — Bayesian posterior matches market at 71-29 with 0.0pp edge. Data quality 33% forces on all lines.
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
71%
Book Implied
71%
Edge
0.0%
Line Movement
Current
Ivory Coast -0.5 (-140) / Norway +0.5 (+110) | Total 2.5 | ML: Ivory Coast +245, Norway -115
Movement
No significant movement detected from opening to current.
Indoor neutral venue (AT&T Stadium, Arlington) — no weather or altitude factor
Limited squad data — only 2 matches of data for Haaland (4 goals) and Pépé (2 goals); small sample
FULL ANALYSIS
Zero edge across every line type — Bayesian fusion shows Norway at exactly the market-implied 71% with no deviation. The total of 2.5 is a coin-flip without pace data or Poisson models. Haaland's 4 goals in 2 matches look dominant but the sample is tiny and unverified. Pass all regular markets; only marginal lean on Haaland over 0.5 goals given his raw rate, but even that lacks market confirmation.
SPREAD PICK
○
55%
Norway 0.5
- Bayesian posterior matches market — no edge; included only as default pick per protocol
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Norway ML at -105 has +28.5 EV on Bayesian fusion, but data quality is poor; Haaland 4 goals in 2 matches makes the +0.5 spread a buy too.
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