Home › Mixed Martial Arts › JJ Aldrich @ Jamey-Lyn Horth
Mixed Martial Arts
JJ Aldrich
JJ Aldrich
Aldrich
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Horth
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
56% Lean
56% Lean
SPREAD
Jamey-Lyn Horth Jamey-Lyn Horth -0.5
"Horth ML +3.1 EV on $5.7K moderate whale steam (100% conviction) in pick'em strawweight prelim"
EV / $100
+3.1
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+4.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Jamey-Lyn Horth None
57%
TOTAL over 2.5
52%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$17890 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 12 trades Kalshi: 29 trades Largest: $1480

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

JJ Aldrich

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
JAM -100 / JJ -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
JJ Aldrich @ Jamey-Lyn Horth
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

JJ Aldrich @ Jamey-Lyn Horth

+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Jamey-Lyn Horth 56% Lean Raw
"Horth ML +3.1 EV on $5.7K moderate whale steam (100% conviction) in pick'em strawweight prelim"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +4.0%
Line Movement
Current omega_model: ML Jamey-Lyn Horth -115 / JJ Aldrich +105; Spread Jamey-Lyn Horth -0.5 (-110); Total 2.5 (-110)
Movement No significant line movement detected.
Home ML/spread +3.1 EV at -115; exceeds 52.4% breakeven. Total neutral.
FULL ANALYSIS
Only signal is moderate whale volume ($5,710, 100% home conviction) pushing model posterior to 54% Horth win vs Bayesian pick'em. No injuries/form/H2H data; MMA style edge favors Horth wrestling vs Aldrich volume striking (est TDD 72%). Poor data caps sizing despite +3.1 EV.
SHARP MONEY
Moderate whale volume ($5,710, 1 wallet) at 100% confidence on home; volume tier MODERATE (+2 conf adjustment).
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Jamey-Lyn Horth -0.5
+3.1 EV 56% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Jamey-Lyn Horth None
+3.1 EV 57% 0.5u
TOTAL over 2.5
+0.8 EV 52% 0u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 57%
Jamey-Lyn Horth -115
  • Whale consensus (moderate volume, 100% conviction) provides only quantifiable edge vs Bayesian 50/50 fusion
SPREAD PICK
○ 56%
Jamey-Lyn Horth -0.5
  • Moderate whale volume ($5.7K) at 100% on home exceeds model pick'em in data-poor spot
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 52%
OVER 2.5
  • Strawweight prelims go distance 62% historically; model projects decision bias without finish data
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Horth 63% model edge (+4.8 EV) vs Aldrich + minor whales, MMA style favors striker home.
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