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MLB
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
Los Angeles Angels
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +12.0% EV
55% Lean
55% Lean
SPREAD
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 0.0
"White Sox ML +9.4pp Bayesian edge at -112 w/ extreme whales; over 9 +15pp amid pitching carnage"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
58%
Edge
+7.5%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago White Sox None
58%
TOTAL over 9.0
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 6.8% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on moneyline.
Sharp: over Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$2562645 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away Polymarket: 748 trades Kalshi: 296 trades Largest: $164029
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +112.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +13.5
Win Prob
28.9%
ML
246 / -246

Player Props Engine

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Chicago White Sox

Los Angeles Angels

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -105 / -115 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -103 / -105 -
Value Line - -118 / -105 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 1.5 (130)
Market Consensus - - Over 9.0 (-101)
Market Consensus -1.5 (186) - -
De-Vigged Fair Value 199 / -199 101 / -101 O/U 105 / -105
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

D
Drew Thorpe
(SP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Thorpe (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tanner Murray
(LF) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
A
Austin Hays
(LF) 10-day IL — The White Sox placed Hays on the 10-day injured list, retroactive to Saturday, due to a left calf strain.
10-Day-IL
E
Everson Pereira
(RF) 10-day IL — The White Sox placed Pereira on the 10-day injured list Wednesday due to a right pectoral strain.
10-Day-IL
J
Jonathan Cannon
(SP) 15-day IL — Cannon (hip) threw a bullpen session Wednesday and could begin a rehab assignment shortly, MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
K
Kyle Teel
(C) 10-day IL — Teel did not begin a rehab assignment earlier this week as initially anticipated, as his right hamstring is "still grabbing at him a little bit" when he runs, Connor McKnight of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
10-Day-IL
C
Chris Murphy
(RP) 15-day IL — Murphy (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Saturday, Brooke Fletcher of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
15-Day-IL
P
Prelander Berroa
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Berroa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
B
Brooks Baldwin
(LF) 60-day IL — Baldwin underwent season-ending internal brace surgery April 1 to repair a right UCL tear, Brooke Fletcher of the Chicago Sports Network reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Mason Adams
(RP) day-to-day — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
M
Mike Vasil
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
K
Ky Bush
(SP) 60-day IL — The White Sox placed Bush (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tim Elko
(1B) out — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.
Out

Los Angeles Angels

G
Grayson Rodriguez
(SP) 15-day IL — Rodriguez (shoulder) is scheduled to throw up to five innings in the Arizona Complex League on Tuesday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
Y
Yusei Kikuchi
(SP) 15-day IL — Kikuchi (shoulder) will be shut down from throwing for 3-to-4 weeks, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Alek Manoah
(SP) 15-day IL — Manoah (finger) tossed 4.1 innings in a rehab start with Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Saturday, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits and two walks while striking out two batters.
15-Day-IL
L
Logan O'Hoppe
(C) 10-day IL — O'Hoppe (wrist) played catch Saturday, per MLB.com.
10-Day-IL
R
Ryan Johnson
(SP) 15-day IL — Johnson (hamstring/illness) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Sunday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
W
Walbert Urena
(SP) day-to-day — Urena (0-3) took the loss Saturday against the Royals after allowing four runs on six hits and five walks across 3.2 innings. He struck out three.
Day-To-Day
B
Ben Joyce
(RP) 15-day IL — Joyce (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Wednesday, Taylor Blake Ward of TheSportingTribune.com reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Robert Stephenson
(RP) 60-day IL — The Angels announced that Stephenson underwent ligament and flexor repair surgery on his right elbow Wednesday and is likely to miss the remainder of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Anthony Rendon
(3B) 60-day IL — The Angels placed Rendon (hip) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
until first pitch
Current Line
Total Over 1.5
Spread -1.5 (186)
Key Injuries
Drew Thorpe 60-Day-IL
Tanner Murray 60-Day-IL
Grayson Rodriguez 15-Day-IL
Yusei Kikuchi 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Angels

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago White Sox 55% Lean
"White Sox ML +9.4pp Bayesian edge at -112 w/ extreme whales; over 9 +15pp amid pitching carnage"
58% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 58%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +7.5%
Line Movement
Current ML: Angels -108 / White Sox -112; Spread: White Sox -112 (run line implied); Total: 9.0
Movement No significant movement
+EV on White Sox ML and massive on over 9 amid model total 22.5
FULL ANALYSIS
Bayesian fusion posterior 57.5% White Sox win vs market 48.1% (+9.4pp), backed by extreme whale volume ($2.6M) and sharp ML edge. Over 9.0 at 65.2% posterior (+15pp) crushes with Omega 22.5 total, MC 19.3 proj, equal injuries tanking pitching. MC edge high but data degraded caps conf.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge 1.9% away ML + 6.8% over total; RLM on ML, strong total signal
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Chicago White Sox 0.0
+3.2 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Chicago White Sox None
+8.8 EV 58% 1.0u
TOTAL over 9.0
+24.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Chicago White Sox -112
  • Bayesian posterior 57.5% vs market 48.1% (+9.4pp edge); extreme whale volume on away
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
Chicago White Sox 0.0
  • MC sims show White Sox cover 0 48.8% vs market implied ~50%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 9.0
  • Over posterior 65.2% vs market 50% (+15.2pp); Omega total 22.5, MC proj 19.3
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Market overprices Angels -2.2 vs Omega even line, White Sox +6.3pp spread edge + MC away favored
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