Kalshi (58.5%) and Market Consensus fair value (59.1%) both put Anaheim above the retail-implied breakeven, but the -155 price erodes the edge to under 2pp
Anaheim Ducks None
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | 135 / -160 ↑ | - |
| Market Consensus | - | 138 / -153 | - |
| Value Line | - | 135 / -159 | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | 1.5 (-183) | - | - |
| Market Consensus | 1.5 (-180) ↓ | - | - |
| Value Line | 1.5 (-186) ↓ | - | - |
| Sharp Action Best Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (-135) |
| Market Consensus | - | - | Over 6.5 (-133) |
| Value Line | - | - | Over 6.5 (-137) |
| De-Vigged Fair Value | -170 / 170 | 146 / -146 | O/U -126 / 126 |
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Kalshi (58.5%) and Market Consensus fair value (59.1%) both put Anaheim above the retail-implied breakeven, but the -155 price erodes the edge to under 2pp
Market Consensus de-vigged puts Vancouver +1.5 cover at 63.1% vs retail -185 implied 64.9% — the Anaheim -1.5 side at +154 is priced near fair with no model disagreement (edge -0.1pp)
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