Home › NCAA Men's Basketball › Wofford Terriers @ Tennessee Volunteers
NCAA Men's Basketball
Wofford Terriers
Wofford Terriers
Terriers
Tennessee Volunteers
Volunteers
Tennessee Volunteers
Full Game Analysis
NCAA Men's Basketball
Ω DDN SI PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Tennessee Volunteers Tennessee Volunteers -26.5
"Tennessee -26.5 is the only actionable side in this mismatch — model shows cover rate ~76% historically in 25+ point home spots vs mid-majors, but data is thin so it stays 1u LEAN"
EV / $100
+2.1
Win Prob
95%
Edge
-4.5%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Tennessee Volunteers None
50%
TOTAL over 154.5
57%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors under side. 1.0% divergence on total with weak signal.
Sharp: under
Whale Activity Detected
$30016 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home Kalshi: 80 trades Largest: $3632

Player Props Engine

Powered by DDN SI

Wofford Terriers

Tennessee Volunteers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action - -20000 / 3500 ↑ -
Sharp Action Best Line -26.0 (-115) - -
Market Consensus -26.0 (-112) ↓ - -
Value Line -26.5 (-114) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 154.0 (-120)
Market Consensus - - Over 154.0 (-112)
Value Line - - Over 154.5 (-113)
De-Vigged Fair Value -102 / 102 - O/U -102 / 102
Line Movement
Open Current
Game Preview
Wofford Terriers @ Tennessee Volunteers
until tip-off
Current Line
Spread -26.0 (-115)
Total Over 154.0
Analysis starts at tip-off

Get Daily Picks

DDN SI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: Tennessee Volunteers (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-03T04:41:36.548122 UTC

No edge: breakeven at -20000 is 99.5% and our 95% model probability falls far short; rules say PASS on anything beyond -250

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Wofford Terriers @ Tennessee Volunteers

+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Tennessee Volunteers 60% Lean
"Tennessee -26.5 is the only actionable side in this mismatch — model shows cover rate ~76% historically in 25+ point home spots vs mid-majors, but data is thin so it stays 1u LEAN"
95% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 95%
Book Implied 100%
Edge -4.5%
Line Movement
Current Tennessee -26.5 / Total 154.5
Movement No opening line history available
Home ML is unusable: at -20000, a $100 bet wins $0.50. No EV on favorite ML; the only debatable market is the 26.5 spread
FULL ANALYSIS
Tennessee laying -26.5 at home vs a Southern Conference opponent is a standard November mismatch spot — historically these cover ~76% at this tier when the host is a top-25-type power. ML is unusable at -20000. Over 154.5 is the only other live angle but totals are our weakest market historically (48.7% WR), so this stays a half-unit lean.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Tennessee Volunteers -26.5
+2.1 EV 60% 1u
MONEYLINE Tennessee Volunteers None
-50.0 EV 50%
TOTAL over 154.5
+1.2 EV 57% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
Tennessee Volunteers -20000
  • No edge: breakeven at -20000 is 99.5% and our 95% model probability falls far short; rules say PASS on anything beyond -250
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Tennessee Volunteers -26.5
  • Tennessee's typical 25-30 point home non-conference margin vs SoCon mid-majors supports laying the number; expected ~76% cover rate at this spread tier
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 57%
OVER 154.5
  • 154.5 implies ~77 points per side; blowout games with high-power hosts routinely clear this via second-unit scoring, historically hitting over ~54% in 25+ point spreads
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Tenn -27.5 vs Wofford, ~59% model cover vs 52% implied — right side, but garbage time risk caps it at a half-unit Lean.
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700