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MLB
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +52.0% EV
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 0.0
"Tigers +168 ML +39 EV (52% our vs 37% model) on MC 50% win + extreme institutional whales home; MC 75% under 24"
EV / $100
+1.2
Win Prob
52%
Edge
+2.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Detroit Tigers None
65%
TOTAL under 24.0
62%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 13.4% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$315066 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (95% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 65 trades Kalshi: 870 trades Largest: $20150
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Total
24.0
Win Prob
37.3%
ML
168 / -168

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Milwaukee Brewers

Detroit Tigers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -116 / -104 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -111 / 101 -
Value Line - -122 / 100 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (350) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (181) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.5 (-102)
De-Vigged Fair Value 196 / -196 -106 / 106 O/U 105 / -105
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

G
Gerson Garabito
(RP) day-to-day — Garabito will be out for four months after undergoing surgery to address a broken bone in his foot, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
C
Craig Yoho
(RP) 15-day IL — Yoho (calf) worked around a walk and a hit batsman to deliver a scoreless inning in his first rehab appearance Sunday with Triple-A Nashville.
15-Day-IL
J
Jackson Chourio
(CF) 10-day IL — Chourio (hand) took some swings Friday for the first time since undergoing left hamate bone surgery, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
10-Day-IL
Q
Quinn Priester
(SP) 15-day IL — Priester (wrist) is tracking toward beginning a rehab assignment with Triple-A Nashville next week, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
15-Day-IL
C
Christian Yelich
(LF) 10-day IL — Yelich (groin) is expected to be sidelined until mid- to late-May, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
10-Day-IL
R
Rob Zastryzny
(RP) 60-day IL — Zastryzny (shoulder) was diagnosed with an intercostal strain and will be sidelined until at least late April, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Andrew Vaughn
(1B) 10-day IL — Vaughn will have a follow-up appointment with his hand surgeon Thursday and hopes to be cleared at that time to progress to the next step of his rehab, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jared Koenig
(RP) 15-day IL — Koenig allowed a hit and struck out one over a scoreless inning to earn the save in Thursday's 5-2 win over the Angels.
15-Day-IL
A
Akil Baddoo
(LF) 60-day IL — The Brewers placed Baddoo (quadriceps) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
J.B. Bukauskas
(RP) day-to-day — Bukauskas will undergo surgery on his injured right lat and be sidelined for 9-to-10 months, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day

Detroit Tigers

Z
Zach McKinstry
(3B) 10-day IL — The Tigers placed McKinstry on the 10-day injured list Friday with left hip/abdominal inflammation.
10-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager A.J. Hinch said Thursday that Verlander's recovery from hip inflammation is "going a little slower than I think he anticipated or we anticipated," Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 15-day IL — The Tigers paused Horn's (elbow) rehab assignment Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Troy Melton
(RP) 60-day IL — Melton (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Beau Brieske
(RP) 60-day IL — Brieske (groin) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Sweeney (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
S
Scott Effross
(RP) day-to-day — Effross (oblique) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Tyler Owens
(SP) day-to-day — Owens (hip) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Lakeland on Saturday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Troy Watson
(SP) day-to-day — Watson is scheduled to begin a throwing program Monday as he works his way back from arthroscopic right elbow surgery, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) is scheduled to play catch out to 120 feet three times this week, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Dugan Darnell
(RP) day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Josue Briceno
(C) out — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out
R
Reese Olson
(SP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday following a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (350)
Total Over 8.5
Key Injuries
Gerson Garabito Day-To-Day
Craig Yoho 15-Day-IL
Zach McKinstry 10-Day-IL
Justin Verlander 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Brewers @ Detroit Tigers

+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Detroit Tigers 58% Lean Calibrated
"Tigers +168 ML +39 EV (52% our vs 37% model) on MC 50% win + extreme institutional whales home; MC 75% under 24"
52% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 52%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.0%
Line Movement
Current omega_model: Spread Tigers 0.0 (-110), Total 24.0 (-110), ML Tigers +168 / Brewers -168
Movement No movement detected
Huge edge on Tigers ML +168 (breakeven 37.3%, our 52%) from MC sims + extreme whales
Model: 51.4% win rate | n=580 — ML profitable in STRONG tier; vs Brewers 23-16W
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega ML lags at Tigers +168 (37% implied) but MC 49.9% home win + extreme $109k whales (88% conf) give 52% our prob for +39 EV. Spread even but home edge from sim margin +0.5. MC under 74.8% at 24.0 huge despite totals WR weakness.
SHARP MONEY
Extreme whale volume $109k (institutional tier) at 88% on Tigers, 17 profitable wallets
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Detroit Tigers 0.0
+1.2 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Detroit Tigers None
+39.4 EV 65% 1u
TOTAL under 24.0
+42.8 EV 62% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
Detroit Tigers 168
  • Our 52% home win prob vs model-implied 37.3% (+14.7% edge) backed by MC 49.9% and extreme whales
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Detroit Tigers 0.0
  • MC sims project +0.5 home margin (49.9% cover rate at 0.0)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 62%
UNDER 24.0
  • MC 74.8% under hit rate at 24.0 (proj 20.6 runs) with HIGH edge confidence
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Tigers +168: $109k extreme whales (88% conf) vs model even spread, +47 EV
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