Home › NHL › Carolina Hurricanes @ Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes
Hurricanes
Pittsburgh Penguins
Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
TOSS-UP
67 TOSS-UP
MONEYLINE
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
"CAR -148: Penguins -4 depth players (Hayes/Lizotte out) = +3.9 EV road fave edge, model 63% win prob"
EV / $100
+3.9
Win Prob
63%
Edge
+13.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
64%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
66%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Powered by xAI

Carolina Hurricanes

Pittsburgh Penguins

Injury Report

Carolina Hurricanes

Shayne Gostisbehere (D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Pyotr Kochetkov (G) Injured Reserve — Kochetkov (hip) might be available in time for the playoffs, according to Ryan Henkel of The Hockey News.
Injured Reserve

Pittsburgh Penguins

Ryan Shea (D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Kevin Hayes (RW) out — Hayes (upper body) won't play against Winnipeg on Saturday.
Out
Blake Lizotte (C) out — Lizotte (upper body) will be reevaluated in four weeks.
Out
Filip Hallander (C) Injured Reserve — Hallander (leg) was recalled from his conditioning stint with AHL Wilkes-Barre/Scranton on Friday, Seth Rorabaugh of Tribune-Review Sports reports.
Injured Reserve
Caleb Jones (D) Injured Reserve — Jones (lower body) was suspended by the NHL on Wednesday for violating the NHL/NHLPA Performance Enhancing Substances Program.
Injured Reserve
Peyton Kettles (D) out — out
Out

AI Pick

LEAN
66
LEAN
Spread
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected Value
+3.86 EV
per $100 wagered
Ω LOW 67% "CAR -148: Penguins -4 depth players (Hayes/Lizotte out) = +3.9 EV road fave edge"

Pittsburgh deeper injury list but home ice + Crosby (61 pts) vs Carolina missing Gostisbehere (key D) and backup goalie

View Full Analysis

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Carolina Hurricanes @ Pittsburgh Penguins

+3.86 EV
per $100 wagered
Carolina Hurricanes 67% TOSS-UP
"CAR -148: Penguins -4 depth players (Hayes/Lizotte out) = +3.9 EV road fave edge, model 63% win prob"
63% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 63%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +13.0%
Line Movement
Current CAR -148 / PIT +124 / Total 6.5
Movement No movement data available
Pittsburgh multi-injury depletion (4 players out/IR) Carolina depth advantage with only 1 D DTD
+3.86 EV on Carolina ML at -148; Penguins missing 4 bodies including Hayes/Lizotte creates matchup edge
FULL ANALYSIS
Pittsburgh gutted with Hayes/Lizotte out plus 2 on IR—secondary scoring craters while Crosby (61 pts) carries dead weight. Carolina's Aho (71 pts)/Jarvis duo exploits this at 5v5; model sees 63% CAR win prob vs 59.7% implied (-148). Under 6.5 makes sense with PIT xG regression and CAR shutdown D.
SHARP MONEY
No RLM/steam data; injury-driven favoritism on road suggests sharp respect for CAR edge
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Carolina Hurricanes
+3.9 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
+4.2 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
+2.8 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
Pittsburgh Penguins -125
  • Crosby (61 pts) and Karlsson (43 pts) production edge over Aho/Jarvis; PIT home ML 54% historical vs Metro foes
SPREAD PICK
● 66%
Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Pittsburgh deeper injury list but home ice + Crosby (61 pts) vs Carolina missing Gostisbehere (key D) and backup goalie
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 62%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
  • NHL lower-scoring variance + both teams missing depth (4 PIT injuries, 2 CAR) caps offense around 5.4 goals projected
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
PIT home with Crosby edge vs injured CAR (-1.2 EV ML but monitor CLV to -140 fair line)
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700