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Mixed Martial Arts
Karine Silva
Karine Silva
Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Jasudavici
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
57% Lean
57% Lean
SPREAD
Karine Silva Karine Silva -1.5
"Silva ML -120 (6.8 EV): 60% win prob +5.5% over implied, minor whale on away + finisher edge vs wrestler"
EV / $100
+3.1
Win Prob
60%
Edge
+10.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Karine Silva None
60%
TOTAL under 2.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$1212 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong away consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: away Polymarket: 2 trades Largest: $606

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Karine Silva

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
JAS -100 / KAR -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
Karine Silva @ Jasmine Jasudavicius
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Karine Silva @ Jasmine Jasudavicius

+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Karine Silva 57% Lean Raw
"Silva ML -120 (6.8 EV): 60% win prob +5.5% over implied, minor whale on away + finisher edge vs wrestler"
60% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 60%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +10.0%
Line Movement
Current Spread N/A | ML Karine Silva -120 / Jasmine Jasudavicius +122 | Total 2.5 (omega_model)
Movement No data
+EV on Silva ML at -120 (risk $100 to win $81.97); breakeven 54.5% exceeded by 5.5%
FULL ANALYSIS
Limited data (21% quality) but minor Polymarket whale signal ($1,212) 100% on Silva aligns with her 70% UFC finish rate and striking volume (45 sig strikes avg) vs Jasudavicius' wrestling reliance. Model fuses to 60% Silva win prob (+5.5% edge vs generated -120 implied), projecting stoppage under 2.5 rounds. Confidence capped at lean tier given N=0 calibration and no injuries/H2H.
SHARP MONEY
Minor whale volume ($1,212, 1 wallet) 100% on away Karine Silva; +1 confidence adjustment
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Karine Silva -1.5
+3.1 EV 57% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Karine Silva None
+6.8 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL under 2.5
+2.1 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 60%
Karine Silva -120
  • 60% win prob exceeds model-implied 54.5% breakeven by 5.5% with minor whale confirmation on away
SPREAD PICK
○ 57%
Karine Silva -1.5
  • Model projects 58% chance Silva wins by stoppage (-1.5 rounds in 3-round fight) given 70% career finish rate vs Jasudavicius' 40%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 2.5
  • 55% prob fight ends inside distance (Silva 70% finishes, Jasudavicius vulnerable to subs)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Silva +5% prob edge on striking/sub matchup vs wrestler (+8.3 EV ML), minor whales confirm
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