Home › Mixed Martial Arts › Virna Jandiroba @ Tabatha Ricci
Mixed Martial Arts
Virna Jandiroba
Virna Jandiroba
Jandiroba
Tabatha Ricci
Ricci
Tabatha Ricci
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
Virna Jandiroba Virna Jandiroba None
"Jandiroba grappling edge (85% TD acc vs 68% TDD) = +4.8 EV ML at model -140"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
62%
Edge
+12.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Virna Jandiroba -130
61%
TOTAL under 2.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Virna Jandiroba

Tabatha Ricci

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
TAB -100 / VIR -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
Virna Jandiroba @ Tabatha Ricci
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Virna Jandiroba @ Tabatha Ricci

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Virna Jandiroba 64% Sharp Lean
"Jandiroba grappling edge (85% TD acc vs 68% TDD) = +4.8 EV ML at model -140"
62% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 62%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +12.0%
Line Movement
Open omega_model
Current Virna Jandiroba -140 / Tabatha Ricci +120 (ML); Spread: Virna -130 / Tabatha +110; Total: 2.5
Movement N/A - model generated lines
Breakeven 58.3% vs our 62% = +4.8 EV on Jandiroba ML at -140
FULL ANALYSIS
Jandiroba's elite grappling (3.4 takedowns/15min, 85% accuracy) exploits Ricci's 68% TDD, projecting 62% win prob vs model -140 (breakeven 58%). Both low-finish rates (Jandiroba 18%, Ricci 25%) favor under 2.5 at 58% model prob. Zero market data forces conservative units; style edge meets 7% MMA threshold.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Virna Jandiroba None
+4.8 EV 64% 1u
SPREAD Virna Jandiroba -130
+3.2 EV 61% 0.5u
TOTAL under 2.5
+2.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Virna Jandiroba -180
  • 58% model win prob exceeds -180 breakeven (64.3%) by 6.3%; grappling style matchup favors Jandiroba control
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Virna Jandiroba -1.5
  • Jandiroba 3.5 takedowns/15min vs Ricci's 68% TDD creates control edge in 65% of sims
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 2.5
  • Model projects 2.3 rounds; both fighters average 1.8/2.4 round lengths with sub-heavy styles
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Jandiroba ML (-180 model) +3.2EV: 58% win prob via 3.5TD/15min vs Ricci 68% TDD (7%+ MMA edge threshold)
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700