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MLB
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +173.0% EV
66% Sharp Lean
66% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 1.5
"Brewers +1.5 +173% EV (Pinnacle 68% fair); Over 8 +15.2pp model edge vs low market total"
EV / $100
+173.0
Win Prob
49%
Edge
-1.4%
Size
1.0u
MONEYLINE Milwaukee Brewers None
54%
TOTAL over 8.0
65%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 48.1% divergence on spread with strong signal. RLM detected on spread.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1048941 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 258 trades Kalshi: 27 trades Largest: $164029
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +112.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +14.5
Win Prob
38.0%
ML
163 / -163

Player Props Engine

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Milwaukee Brewers

St. Louis Cardinals

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -107 / -113 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -105 / -105 -
Value Line - -105 / -120 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-450) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (197) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.5 (-111)
De-Vigged Fair Value 215 / -215 -100 / -100 O/U -104 / 104
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

C
Christian Yelich
(LF) 10-day IL — Yelich (groin) took batting practice on the field Monday, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jacob Misiorowski
(SP) day-to-day — Misiorowski (hamstring) threw a bullpen session Monday, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
Q
Quinn Priester
(SP) 15-day IL — Priester (wrist) is with the Brewers in St. Louis after being pulled from his rehab assignment due to shoulder soreness, Sophia Minnaert of Brewers.tv reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Angel Zerpa
(RP) 15-day IL — Manager Pat Murphy said Sunday that Zerpa (forearm) is deciding whether or not to undergo Tommy John surgery, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Brandon Woodruff
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager Pat Murphy said Thursday that Woodruff (arm) will receive some time off before making his next start, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jared Koenig
(RP) 15-day IL — Koenig (elbow) is slated to resume a throwing program Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Gerson Garabito
(RP) day-to-day — Garabito will be out for four months after undergoing surgery to address a broken bone in his foot, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day
R
Rob Zastryzny
(RP) 60-day IL — Zastryzny (shoulder) was diagnosed with an intercostal strain and will be sidelined until at least late April, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Akil Baddoo
(LF) 60-day IL — The Brewers placed Baddoo (quadriceps) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
J.B. Bukauskas
(RP) day-to-day — Bukauskas will undergo surgery on his injured right lat and be sidelined for 9-to-10 months, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
Day-To-Day

St. Louis Cardinals

M
Matt Pushard
(RP) 15-day IL — Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Saturday that Pushard (knee) will need "several more" rehab appearances at Triple-A Memphis before being activated from the 10-day injured list, Daniel Guerrero of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
15-Day-IL
L
Lars Nootbaar
(LF) 60-day IL — Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Saturday that Nootbaar (heels) is on track to begin a rehab assignment as soon as the week of May 10, Daniel Guerrero of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Packy Naughton
(RP) day-to-day — Imaging revealed damage to the UCL in Naughton's left elbow Saturday, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
Day-To-Day
I
Ixan Henderson
(SP) day-to-day — Henderson (elbow) is starting the season on the 60-day injured list at Triple-A Memphis.
Day-To-Day
V
Victor Santos
(RP) day-to-day — Santos (elbow) has compiled a 3.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 26:7 K:BB across 34 innings over his first nine outings (seven starts) in the Dominican Winter League.
Day-To-Day
S
Sem Robberse
(SP) day-to-day — Robberse (elbow) signed a minor-league contract with the Cardinals on Monday, which includes an invitation to spring training, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
Day-To-Day
Z
Zack Thompson
(RP) day-to-day — The Cardinals reassigned Thompson (shoulder) to minor-league camp Monday.
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-450)
Total Over 7.5
Key Injuries
Christian Yelich 10-Day-IL
Jacob Misiorowski Day-To-Day
Matt Pushard 15-Day-IL
Lars Nootbaar 60-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals

+173.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Milwaukee Brewers 66% Sharp Lean
"Brewers +1.5 +173% EV (Pinnacle 68% fair); Over 8 +15.2pp model edge vs low market total"
49% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 49%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -1.4%
Line Movement
Current Run Line: STL -1.5 -112 / MIL +1.5 -108 | ML: STL -112 / MIL -108 | Total: 8.0
Movement No significant line movement detected
Negative EV on ML both sides; positive EV on spread away (+173%) and total over (+24.5%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp money hammers Brewers spread (48.1% edge, RLM) with Pinnacle fair 68.2% cover vs retail +300 misprice. Total over 8 crushes at 65.2% posterior vs 50% implied, backed by Omega 22.5/MC 19.7 projections despite no pitchers. Extreme whale volume home but sharp action +EV overrides; equal injuries, no situ flags. Degraded data (67%) caps at Sharp Lean.
SHARP MONEY
Strong 48.1% sharp edge on spread away + RLM detected; overrides weak ML signal
Recommended Sizing
1.0u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Milwaukee Brewers 1.5
+173.0 EV 66% 1.0u
MONEYLINE Milwaukee Brewers None
-6.4 EV 54%
TOTAL over 8.0
+24.5 EV 65% 1.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 54%
Milwaukee Brewers -108
  • Posterior 48.6% vs market 47.2% but below breakeven 51.9%
SPREAD PICK
● 66%
Milwaukee Brewers 1.5
  • Pinnacle fair value 68.2% Brewers cover vs retail +300 pricing
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 65%
OVER 8.0
  • Bayesian posterior 65.2% over vs 50% implied (+15.2pp edge)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Cardinals +2.2 (56% posterior edge) + massive O8.5 (+15pp, 19.8 proj total) vs low market line
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