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MLB
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Chicago White Sox
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +50.0% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox None
"White Sox ML at -136: Bayesian edge +6.2%, backed by $1.7M whale volume and sharp spread signal."
EV / $100
+10.7
Win Prob
64%
Edge
+6.2%
Size
1.5u
TOTAL over 7.5
63%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 14.5% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1748108 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (84% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 636 trades Kalshi: 70 trades Largest: $160919
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +136.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +15.0
Win Prob
47.4%
ML
111 / -111

Player Props Engine

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Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -133 / 111 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -127 / 115 -
Value Line - -132 / 107 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (330) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (165) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.0 (100)
De-Vigged Fair Value 178 / -178 -121 / 121 O/U 107 / -107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

B
Brant Hurter
(RP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Hurter on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to lumbar spine inflammation.
60-Day-IL
C
Casey Mize
(SP) 15-day IL — Mize (groin) played catch Thursday and is still waiting on the results of his MRI, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
K
Kenley Jansen
(RP) 15-day IL — Jansen is awaiting results of an MRI on his right groin, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tarik Skubal
(SP) 15-day IL — Skubal (elbow) will throw another simulated game Monday at Tropicana Field, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Gleyber Torres
(2B) 10-day IL — Torres (oblique) will travel to Triple-A Toledo on Friday to begin a rehab assignment, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
10-Day-IL
K
Kerry Carpenter
(RF) 10-day IL — Carpenter (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Toledo on Friday, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 60-day IL — Verlander (hip) is slated to throw around 4-to-5 simulated innings or 65-to-70 pitches Wednesday in a live batting practice session, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Ty Madden
(SP) 15-day IL — Madden (forearm) covered 4.1 innings and allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out three batters Monday in a rehab start with Triple-A Toledo.
15-Day-IL
B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 60-day IL — Horn (elbow) began a throwing progression May 14, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Javier Baez
(SS) 10-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Baez is scheduled to meet with a specialist in the near future for further evaluation on his sprained right ankle, which hasn't healed as quickly as the team hoped, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Burch Smith
(RP) 15-day IL — Smith has been diagnosed with right shoulder soreness and received a cortisone injection Friday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Sweeney (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
R
Reese Olson
(SP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday after he underwent a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Dugan Darnell
(RP) day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day

Chicago White Sox

D
Derek Hill
(RF) day-to-day — Hill has been removed from Saturday's starting lineup versus Detroit due to upper-back tightness, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
Day-To-Day
M
Munetaka Murakami
(1B) 10-day IL — Murakami has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain and is expected to miss 4-to-6 weeks, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jordan Leasure
(RP) 60-day IL — Leasure (forearm) said Friday that he will be shut down from throwing for four weeks, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
60-Day-IL
K
Kyle Teel
(C) 60-day IL — Teel (knee) will begin a running program Saturday, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
60-Day-IL
N
Noah Schultz
(SP) 15-day IL — Schultz (2-4) took the loss against the Giants on Sunday, allowing six runs on six hits and one walk while striking out one batter across four innings.
15-Day-IL
K
Ky Bush
(SP) 60-day IL — Bush (elbow) had a setback in his recovery from Tommy John surgery and is unlikely to return until the second half of the season, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Drew Thorpe
(SP) 60-day IL — Thorpe (elbow) recently underwent an appendectomy but has resumed throwing, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Austin Hays
(LF) 10-day IL — Hays (calf) will play in at least two more rehab games with Triple-A Charlotte before he is evaluated for a potential return, MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
E
Everson Pereira
(RF) 10-day IL — Pereira (pectoral) resumed throwing Monday, MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jordan Hicks
(RP) 15-day IL — Hicks was placed on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a right lat strain.
15-Day-IL
P
Prelander Berroa
(RP) 60-day IL — Berroa is dealing with right elbow inflammation and will have his rehab stint paused, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Mike Vasil
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tanner Murray
(LF) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
M
Mason Adams
(RP) day-to-day — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Tim Elko
(1B) out — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.
Out
B
Brooks Baldwin
(LF) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (330)
Total Over 8.0
Key Injuries
Brant Hurter 60-Day-IL
Casey Mize 15-Day-IL
Derek Hill Day-To-Day
Munetaka Murakami 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

+10.71 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago White Sox 64% Sharp Lean
"White Sox ML at -136: Bayesian edge +6.2%, backed by $1.7M whale volume and sharp spread signal."
64% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 64%
Book Implied 58%
Edge +6.2%
Line Movement
Current CHW -136 / DET +113, Total 7.5
Movement No significant movement detected
Model sees significant value on White Sox moneyline at -136, with a +6.2% edge over market.
FULL ANALYSIS
White Sox moneyline shows strong Bayesian edge (+6.2%) with extreme whale volume ($1.7M) and sharp spread signal. Total over 7.5 also shows significant edge (+15.2pp) but with lower model agreement. Data quality is degraded due to missing pitcher and weather data, so confidence is tempered. Still, the convergence of signals makes Chicago the side to back.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge on spread 14.3% favoring home, whale volume $1.7M on home side, strong signal.
Recommended Sizing
1.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Chicago White Sox None
+10.7 EV 64% 1.5u
TOTAL over 7.5
+24.5 EV 63% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 64%
Chicago White Sox -136
  • Bayesian fusion shows +6.2% edge over market, supported by extreme whale volume and sharp spread signal
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 63%
OVER 7.5
  • Bayesian fusion posterior 65.2% for over 7.5, +15.2pp edge over market
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
White Sox ML: Bayesian +9.0pp edge, sharp divergence 18.5%, whales drop $426K at 82% conviction — take -123 before line tightens
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